The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Texans and Broncos.
Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Denver | Rank | @ | Houston | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | Spread | -3.5 | ||
| 21.5 | Implied Total | 25.0 | ||
| 22.4 | 13 | Points/Gm | 23.5 | 10 |
| 25.5 | 29 | Points All./Gm | 21.1 | 14 |
| 58.0 | 31 | Plays/Gm | 64.6 | 13 |
| 64.0 | 20 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.7 | 16 |
| 5.2 | 17 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5 |
| 6.1 | 31 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 24 |
| 44.83% | 7 | Rush% | 40.93% | 20 |
| 55.17% | 26 | Pass% | 59.07% | 13 |
| 44.89% | 25 | Opp. Rush % | 41.94% | 16 |
| 55.11% | 8 | Opp. Pass % | 58.06% | 17 |
- Houston is 0-4 against the point spread as a favorite this season compared to 5-2 against the spread as an underdog.
- Denver has allowed a touchdown on 14.1% of opponent possessions since Week 6, fourth in the league.
- Denver has a league-high +11 turnover differential over that span.
- Houston has scored a touchdown on 26.9% of their drives over that span, fourth in the league.
- Since Week 6, 53.6% of the Denver set of downs have reached third down, 28th in the league.
- Over that same span, just 42.0% of the Houston set of downs have reached third down, fourth in the league.
- 40.2% of the Denver possessions have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, 31st in the league.
- 21.4% of the drives against Denver fail to gain a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- 26.9% of the drives against Houston fail to gain a first down or touchdown, the second-lowest rate in the league.
- The Texans are averaging 15.2 plays per game to gain 10 or more yards, second in the NFL behind Miami (16.1).
- Houston games are averaging a league-high 528.7 combined passing yards per game.
- Houston is allowing 6.8 yards per passing play, 30th in the league.
- Houston is averaging 7.2 yards per passing play, third in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
C.J. Stroud: Ending last week as QB4 (30.9 points), Stroud’s incredible rookie campaign stayed steaming.
It was the fourth consecutive game he threw for 300 yards (the first rookie to ever have such a streak) and the second time over the past four weeks that he reached 30 fantasy points in a game.
Stroud rushed for a season-high 47 yards and his third touchdown on the ground.
This should be a strong litmus test as Stroud has faced four straight opponents that are 20th in the league or lower in yards allowed per pass attempt.
Stroud has been too hot to run away from using in 1QB formats unless you have a strong pivot, but this is the best pass defense he has faced in over a month.
Denver is still giving up yardage on the ground in chunks, but this pass defense has been solid since the opening month of the season.
Denver has allowed just 6.4 yards per pass attempt since Week 5, which is seventh in the league.
That includes facing Patrick Mahomes twice and Josh Allen. Jordan Love is the only quarterback to throw multiple passing touchdowns against Denver over their past seven games.
Houston will need to keep Stroud clean.
When Denver has pressured quarterbacks over that span, those passers are only completing 41.9% of their passes (third) compared to 73.0% (23rd) when they have failed to get to the quarterback.
When Stroud has not been pressured, he is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt (second in the league) with 17 passing touchdowns (fourth).
When pressured, Stroud is averaging 5.6 Y/A (21st) with two passing touchdowns (22nd).
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