The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Steelers and Cardinals.
Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Arizona | Rank | @ | Pittsburgh | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Spread | -5.5 | ||
| 17.25 | Implied Total | 22.75 | ||
| 17.2 | 25 | Points/Gm | 16.5 | 28 |
| 26.8 | 31 | Points All./Gm | 18.6 | 5 |
| 61.0 | 23 | Plays/Gm | 60.0 | 26 |
| 65.1 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.8 | 27 |
| 4.9 | 26 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 25 |
| 5.5 | 25 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 23 |
| 41.67% | 18 | Rush% | 43.79% | 10 |
| 58.33% | 15 | Pass% | 56.21% | 23 |
| 48.27% | 30 | Opp. Rush % | 41.57% | 15 |
| 51.73% | 3 | Opp. Pass % | 58.43% | 18 |
- Pittsburgh games are averaging a league-low 32.8 combined points per game.
- Just two of 11 (18.2%) of the Pittsburgh games have gone over the game total, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Steelers have trailed for 61.2% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate of any team with a winning record (27th in the league).
- The Steelers are 5-0 this season when scoring first.
- Arizona is 0-6 when the opponent scores first.
- Pittsburgh has turned the ball over on 6.4% of their drives, the lowest rate in the league.
- The Cardinals are averaging a league-low 0.92 points per drive on the road this season.
- Arizona is allowing a league-high 2.45 points per drive.
- The Steelers have allowed a touchdown on 12.0% of opponent drives over their past seven games, the lowest rate in the NFL.
- The 6.2 yards per play for the Steelers on Sunday were their most in a game since Week 14 of last season.
- The 421 yards of offense by Pittsburgh on Sunday were their most in a game since Week 16 of the 2018 season and the first time they reached 400 yards in a game since Week 2 of the 2020 season.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: It has not been pretty from a passing stance, but Murray has returned to the lineup with games as the QB12 (17.3 points), QB7 (21.7 points), and QB9 (20.4 points).
Murray has a rushing touchdown in all three games to boost his fantasy output. A two-yard rushing score last week was his only rushing attempt, which makes his fantasy output more fragile.
As a passer, Murray has completed 61.7% of his passes (24th) since returning for 6.7 yards per pass attempt (16th).
On throws 10 yards or further downfield, Murray is 13-of-38 (34.2%) passing with one touchdown and two interceptions. That is the lowest completion percentage in the league on those throws for all passers with double-digit attempts over that span.
There is the potential for a low floor here when we finally do not get a rushing score. For fantasy, Murray has replaced what we lost in Deshaun Watson. The passing efficiency cannot be counted on, but he keeps flirting with back-end QB1 scoring weeks through rushing output.
The Steelers have not allowed a QB1 scoring week since Week 4, allowing a 59.1% completion rate (third) and a league-low five passing touchdowns over their past seven games.
With a handful of viable QB1 plays removed this week through bye weeks, Murray still is an upside-based starter, but this is as fragile of a spot as he has had since returning to the lineup.
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