The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Steelers and Cardinals.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

ArizonaRank@PittsburghRank
5.5 Spread-5.5
17.25 Implied Total22.75
17.225Points/Gm16.528
26.831Points All./Gm18.65
61.023Plays/Gm60.026
65.125Opp. Plays/Gm65.827
4.926Off. Yards/Play4.925
5.525Def. Yards/Play5.423
41.67%18Rush%43.79%10
58.33%15Pass%56.21%23
48.27%30Opp. Rush %41.57%15
51.73%3Opp. Pass %58.43%18

  • Pittsburgh games are averaging a league-low 32.8 combined points per game.
  • Just two of 11 (18.2%) of the Pittsburgh games have gone over the game total, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Steelers have trailed for 61.2% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate of any team with a winning record (27th in the league).
  • The Steelers are 5-0 this season when scoring first.
  • Arizona is 0-6 when the opponent scores first.
  • Pittsburgh has turned the ball over on 6.4% of their drives, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Cardinals are averaging a league-low 0.92 points per drive on the road this season.
  • Arizona is allowing a league-high 2.45 points per drive.
  • The Steelers have allowed a touchdown on 12.0% of opponent drives over their past seven games, the lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The 6.2 yards per play for the Steelers on Sunday were their most in a game since Week 14 of last season.
  • The 421 yards of offense by Pittsburgh on Sunday were their most in a game since Week 16 of the 2018 season and the first time they reached 400 yards in a game since Week 2 of the 2020 season.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Kyler Murray: It has not been pretty from a passing stance, but Murray has returned to the lineup with games as the QB12 (17.3 points), QB7 (21.7 points), and QB9 (20.4 points).

Murray has a rushing touchdown in all three games to boost his fantasy output. A two-yard rushing score last week was his only rushing attempt, which makes his fantasy output more fragile.

As a passer, Murray has completed 61.7% of his passes (24th) since returning for 6.7 yards per pass attempt (16th).

On throws 10 yards or further downfield, Murray is 13-of-38 (34.2%) passing with one touchdown and two interceptions. That is the lowest completion percentage in the league on those throws for all passers with double-digit attempts over that span.

There is the potential for a low floor here when we finally do not get a rushing score. For fantasy, Murray has replaced what we lost in Deshaun Watson. The passing efficiency cannot be counted on, but he keeps flirting with back-end QB1 scoring weeks through rushing output.

The Steelers have not allowed a QB1 scoring week since Week 4, allowing a 59.1% completion rate (third) and a league-low five passing touchdowns over their past seven games.

With a handful of viable QB1 plays removed this week through bye weeks, Murray still is an upside-based starter, but this is as fragile of a spot as he has had since returning to the lineup.

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