The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Saints and Lions.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

DetroitRank@New OrleansRank
-4.0 Spread4.0
24.75 Implied Total20.75
26.77Points/Gm20.818
23.524Points All./Gm20.29
68.52Plays/Gm68.23
59.94Opp. Plays/Gm61.99
5.93Off. Yards/Play5.120
5.321Def. Yards/Play5.215
43.50%12Rush%40.67%21
56.50%21Pass%59.33%12
39.45%9Opp. Rush %44.79%23
60.55%24Opp. Pass %55.21%10

  • The Saints are 0-4 against the spread at home this season, tied for the worst record in the league.
  • New Orleans has not led at halftime in any home game yet this season. The only other team to do so is the Jets.
  • The Saints have scored a touchdown on 12.5% of their possessions at home this season, 27th in the league.
  • Detroit is averaging a league-high 36.2 yards per drive on the road this season.
  • The Saints are the only team in the league that has not had a running back have a run of 20 or more yards this season.
  • The Lions have had nine from their running backs, fourth in the league.
  • Detroit is averaging 5.4 yards per first down running play, second in the NFL.
  • The Lions are allowing a league-low 3.4 yards on first down rushing plays.
  • The Lions are averaging a league-high 5.4 plays per game to gain 20 or more yards.
  • Just 25.6% of the Detroit possessions fail to gain a first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
  • 43.8% of the drives against New Orleans have failed to gain a first down or touchdown, the second-highest rate in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Jared Goff: Goff has not played great real football the past two weeks, turning the ball over six times. But with Detroit having to play from behind heavily in both games, Goff has been able to stack late-game passing production.

Goff has thrown for an NFL-high 284 yards in the fourth quarter the past two weeks to go along with two passing touchdowns.

This is a spot where we are not expecting the Lions to be forced to play in jailbreak scenarios, but we would have said the same thing a week ago.

I would prefer to use Goff as a floor-based QB2, but with a few front-end passers on bye, Goff is right on that QB1/QB2 line if you are forced to use him in 1QB formats.

The Saints have allowed 11.1 passing points per game (sixth) to quarterbacks with just one passer throwing more than two touchdowns in a game against them this season.

They have not faced a daunting rogue’s gallery of opponents, but both C.J. Stroud (QB12) and Trevor Lawrence (QB9) were back-end QB1 scorers against them, which feels like the right area of expectations for Goff in a game that Detroit can control in the majority of outcomes.

To continue reading this article

and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our season-long fantasy package or weekly starter stack.

Purchase
Already a Subscriber?Log In

Week 13 Fantasy Football Matchups

Sharp Betting Packages
NFL, NCAAF, Props & More