The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Dolphins and Commanders.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

-9.5 Spread9.5
30.0 Implied Total21.5
22.823Points All./Gm29.232
62.511Opp. Plays/Gm63.615
6.91Off. Yards/Play5.219
4.97Def. Yards/Play5.930
39.45%8Opp. Rush %39.97%10
60.55%25Opp. Pass %60.03%23

  • Washington is a league-worst 0-4-1 against the point spread at home this season.
  • Washington has turned the ball over on 26.7% of their possessions at home this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Commanders are allowing 2.56 points per drive at home this season, 31st in the league.
  • Miami has scored a touchdown on 33.6% of their possessions, the highest rate in the league.
  • Opponents have scored on 25.3% of their drives against Miami over their past seven games, the lowest rate in the league.
  • Games involving the Commanders are averaging a league-high 130.1 combined offensive plays per game.
  • Miami has a league-high 87 passing plays that have gained 15 or more yards.
  • Washington has allowed a league-high 82 passing plays of 15 or more yards.
  • Miami has scored a league-high 15 touchdowns from outside of the red zone.
  • Washington has allowed a league-high 16 touchdowns from outside of the red zone.

Trust = spike production for that player


Tua Tagovailoa (TRUST): Tagovailoa is coming off his lowest-scoring week of the season, ending Week 12 as QB28 (7.8 points).

Tagovailoa has now not posted a week inside of the top-10 scoring quarterbacks since Week 6, with just one game higher than QB10 over his past eight weeks.

This is what they refer to as a “get right” spot.

The most explosive passing game in the NFL against a defense that is allowing the most explosive pass plays in the NFL.

Washington is allowing a league-high 19.6 passing points per game.

They are allowing a league-high 6.6% touchdown rate to go along with 7.9 yards per pass attempt (30th) and 12.4 yards per completed pass (31st).

Every single quarterback to face Washington since the season opener has scored more fantasy points than they were averaging entering the matchup.

10 of the past 11 quarterbacks have closed the week as a top-10 scorer with the lone exception being Mac Jones. Seven of those passers were top-five scores that week.

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