The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Bucs and Panthers.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

CarolinaRank@Tampa BayRank
5.5 Spread-5.5
16.0 Implied Total21.5
26.530Points All./Gm20.613
60.56Opp. Plays/Gm64.020
4.132Off. Yards/Play5.023
510Def. Yards/Play5.727
48.95%31Opp. Rush %38.07%6
51.05%2Opp. Pass %61.93%27

  • Tampa Bay home games are averaging 32.2 combined points per game, 30th in the league.
  • Five consecutive Carolina games have gone under the game total, the longest active streak in the league.
  • Carolina has trailed for 88.1% of their offensive snaps in the second half of games, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Panthers have a takeaway on a league-low 5.1% of opponent possessions.
  • 80.9% (17-of-21) of the Tampa Bay touchdowns have come via passing, tied for third in the NFL.
  • 58.1% (18-of-31) of the touchdowns against Carolina have come via rushing, the highest rate in the league.
  • Carolina has a -90 point differential on rushing plays vs. their opponents, the worst differential in the league.
  • The Panthers have 21 passing plays of 20 or more yards, 31st in the league.
  • The Buccaneers have allowed 45 passing plays of 20 or more yards, 29th in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Baker Mayfield: After a four-game stretch operating as a back-end QB1, Mayfield has been the QB22 (10.3 points) and QB17 (13.4 points) the past two weeks.

Mayfield was barely getting there as a lower-end QB1 with a season-high week as QB8, so this natural slide as a QB2 is not overly shocking.

He is currently completing 64.7% of his passes (20th) for 6.8 yards per pass attempt (23rd).

This is not a spot to expect a ceiling week, either, keeping Mayfield as a floor-based QB2.

For all of Carolina’s issues, they have not been giving up passing efficiency.

The Panthers are allowing 11.6 passing points per game (eighth).

Since Week 8 they are allowing a league-low 5.4 Y/A and 8.4 yards per completion, which includes games against C.J. Stroud (QB21) and Dak Prescott (QB15).

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