The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 13 matchup between the Seahawks and Cowboys on Thursday Night Football.

Find a breakdown of every Week 13 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

SeattleRank@DallasRank
9.5 Spread-9.5
18.25 Implied Total27.75
20.818Points/Gm31.51
22.622Points All./Gm16.84
59.628Plays/Gm65.58
67.530Opp. Plays/Gm59.42
5.314Off. Yards/Play5.87
5.212Def. Yards/Play4.73
39.02%27Rush%42.64%14
60.98%6Pass%57.36%19
41.11%13Opp. Rush %44.56%22
58.89%20Opp. Pass %55.44%11

  • Dallas has scored 65.2% of the points scored in their games this season, the highest rate in the league.
  • Dallas has led by double-digits on a league-high 36.9% of their offensive snaps.
  • The Cowboys are 5-0 against the point spread this season at home, the last remaining team perfect against the spread at home.
  • Dallas is outscoring opponents by 29.0 points per game at home this season, the largest margin in the league.
  • Seattle has scored a touchdown on 11.5% of their possessions over their past seven games, 30th in the league.
  • The Seahawks have gone three and out on 39.7% of their drives over that span, 30th in the league.
  • The Cowboys are converting 13.4% more of their third downs than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
  • Seattle is converting 12.5% fewer of their third downs than their opponents, 31st in the league.

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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Dak Prescott: Prescott stayed hot on Thanksgiving, closing last week as QB3 (32.2 points) against the Commanders. That was Prescott’s fifth top-three-scoring week over his past six games.

Over that span, Prescott leads the NFL with 312.3 passing yards per game and 18 touchdown passes despite having a bye week mixed in. His 8.9 yards per pass attempt are second in the league while throwing only two interceptions.

Dallas has swerved into a pass-heavy approach over that stretch.

The Cowboys have thrown the ball 8.0% more than their expected rate. They have thrown the ball 13.0% more than their expected rate on first downs.

Prescott has cooked against many lousy defenses.

This week he is facing a Seattle defense that has made passers work for fantasy points over the past two months.

Seattle has allowed one QB1 scorer over their past eight games, which includes allowing only 10.5 points to Brock Purdy on Thanksgiving. Purdy’s 7.0 yards per pass attempt was his second-lowest rate in a game this season.

Over that same period, Seattle is allowing 6.3 Y/A, which is fourth in the league. Their 3.3% touchdown rate allowed is ninth.

We are only two weeks removed from Prescott averaging 5.0 Y/A against a Carolina defense that has also limited passing output for fantasy. In that game, he was QB15 (16.2 points).

Prescott has been too hot to treat him as anything but a starter, especially in a week with so many quality fantasy quarterbacks on bye.

That said, this is a spot where I would have reservations about him delivering a front-end scoring week on par with the ones gamers have grown accustomed to over this hot run he has had.

Geno Smith: Playing through an elbow issue on a short week against a high-caliber defense, Smith’s Thanksgiving night went as expected given the conditions.

He completed 18-of-27 passes for 180 yards (6.7 Y/A) with no touchdowns and an interception against the 49ers.

Closing as QB29 (7.3 points), Smith has just two scoring weeks in the front half of the position this season.

Things do not get any easier here.

Dallas is allowing 10.5 passing points per game, third in the league.

Smith has been pressured on 40.1% of his dropbacks, 28th in the league. Under pressure, he is averaging 5.1 yards per pass attempt, which is 27th in the league.

The Cowboys lead the league with a pressure rate of 47.4%, ranking second in sack rate (10.2%).

Smith has faced the teams that rank second and third in pressure rate in Cleveland and San Francisco, finishing as QB20 and QB29 in scoring those weeks.

Smith is stuck as a QB2 option in Week 13.

Running Back

Tony Pollard: After getting back into the RB1 scorers in Week 11 at Carolina, Pollard put together another RB1 scoring week on Thanksgiving, turning 19 touches into 103 yards and a touchdown.

Gamers had a moment of despair when Rico Dowdle scored on a screen pass in the first quarter, but Pollard was able to add a touchdown of his own later in the game, the first time this season he has reached the end zone in back-to-back games.

Pollard’s 19 touches were his most in a game since Week 6, and he has five and six targets in the passing game over the past two weeks.

We have been highlighting that Pollard has been on an upward trajectory in terms of rushing efficiency and creating explosive runs for a few weeks. His 6.1 yards per carry were a season-high.

Over the past four weeks, Pollard has had a run of 10 or more yards on 13.5% of his carries after a 6.5% rate before that stretch.

This is another spot where Pollard can have success as an RB1, paired with the potential that Dallas will face a better pass defense than they have in previous weeks.

Seattle has gotten worse against the run as the season has progressed.

Over their past five games, Seattle has allowed 5.3 YPC to running backs (30th) and is tied in allowing a league-high seven rushing touchdowns to backfields over that span.

They have allowed a top-five scoring back in three of those five games.

Zach Charbonnet: We are going to enter the week under the premise that Kenneth Walker will miss another week with an oblique injury.

Walker has been known to rally and play through injury during his early career, so circle back if he ends up playing on Thursday.

Charbonnet found little success in a sputtering offense on Thanksgiving.

He rushed 14 times for 47 yards while catching all four of his targets for 11 yards.

While the output was underwhelming, Charbonnet did play 87.5% of the snaps, which led all running backs in Week 13.

He had 85.7% of the backfield touches, which was sixth.

Charbonnet is a volume-based RB2 here again since this matchup is once again tough paired with Seattle carrying a pedestrian team total on the road.

The Cowboys are allowing 3.78 YPC to running backs (ninth) and are third in fantasy points allowed per touch (0.71) to backfields.

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Wide Receiver

CeeDee Lamb: With four catches for 53 yards on Thanksgiving, Lamb has caught 10 passes for 91 yards over the past two weeks after his four-game run of clearing 100 yards.

Despite the middling yardage total, Lamb still caught his sixth touchdown of the season, his third straight game with a touchdown. Lamb also added a two-point conversion to anchor his fantasy line.

While he has gotten there the past two weeks based on touchdowns, Lamb does carry equity near the end zone. He leads the NFL with 16 end zone targets.

Lamb remains a front-end WR1 for fantasy in seasonal leagues.

Over that same period highlighted with Prescott, Seattle is allowing 10.4 yards per tach to opposing wide receivers, second in the league.

They are allowing 14.1 points per game to opposing WR1 targets (12th) with just three touchdowns to those targets, but we just saw Brandon Aiyuk get into the end zone last week.

Lamb also had an edge that other lead wideouts have not against Seattle since he plays so much in the slot, where is playing 50.5% of his snaps over his past six games.

48.3% of the wide receiver receptions allowed by Seattle have come via the slot, the third-highest rate in the league.

DK Metcalf: Metcalf was locked out by Charvarius Ward on Thanksgiving, catching 3-of-9 targets for 32 yards.

Seattle had a game plan of attacking San Francisco vertically. He had three targets on throws 30 or more yards downfield, failing to secure any of them.

Metcalf has now been a top-30 scorer in just two of his past six games.

All of his peripheral usage shows WR1 potential, but the results have underachieved as much as this offense has in bulk.

Over that same span, Metcalf is averaging 9.5 targets per game (WR10), but 19.3% have been inaccurate (seventh highest over that period).

Metcalf has a 28.3% target share with 49.7% of the team’s air yards when on the field. He also has 13 end zone targets, third in the NFL.

It is hard to get away from continuing to throw his usage at the wall as a boom-or-bust WR2, but this is not a great objective layout for Metcalf.

Dallas is allowing 51.5 yards per game to opposing WR1 targets, second in the league.

If looking for a path to WR1 upside, Metcalf leads Seattle with a 35.3% target share against man coverage.

Dallas is running man coverage on 41.4% of passing plays, which is the highest rate in the league.

Tyler Lockett: Nobody in this passing game survived Week 12, and Lockett was not an exception.

He pulled in 3-of-5 targets for 30 yards against the 49ers.

That was Lockett’s eighth game of the season below 60 yards through the air.

Lockett now has been a top-30 scorer four times this season, with three of those games coming attached to a touchdown.

Lockett is averaging 0.99 yards per route run against man coverage this season, which is below both Metcalf (1.95) and Jaxon Smith-Njigba (1.93).

Lockett has also been targeted on 19.5% of his routes against man coverage (third on the team) as opposed to a 23.6% rate against zone coverage (first).

Given those splits and a tougher overall matchup, Lockett is a touchdown-dependent WR3/FLEX.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Smith-Njigba has started to flash the past few weeks on an individual play basis.

In Week 11, he had a 32-yard contested catch in traffic that was his best play of the season. He then topped that last week with a one-handed 34-yard grab,

While those isolated plays showcased the talent level that got Smith-Njigba drafted in the first round, we still need more consistent usage and production from him for fantasy.

He has received more than six targets in a game just twice. He has yet to clear 63 yards in a game.

If you pressed to take a shot on Smith-Njigba in the FLEX due to byes or chasing in single-game DFS, he does have a higher target share (22.4%) and a higher target rate per route (23.8%) against man coverage than Lockett does.

Brandin Cooks: Cooks took advantage of a great matchup on Thanksgiving, turning his five targets into four catches for 72 yards, one of which was a 31-yard touchdown.

That was his fourth touchdown over the past six games.

Those are also the only weeks this season in which he has been inside of the top 50 scorers at this position.

Cooks is a touchdown-or-bust FLEX.

He gets a tougher matchup here than last week.

Wide receivers have pulled in 26.3% of their targets on throws 20 or more yards downfield against Seattle, sixth in the league.

Dallas WRs: If playing single-game DFS and digging into the bottom of the barrel here, Michael Gallup (15 routes) and Jalen Tolbert (13 routes) continued to split time as the WR3 in this passing game in Week 12.

Outside of chasing a touchdown, both are thin options, even for Showdown slates.

Tight End

Jake Ferguson: Ferguson pulled in 1-of-3 targets for 35 yards on Thanksgiving.

Failing to reach the end zone in each of the past two weeks has highlighted how dependent Ferguson has been on needing those scores for fantasy.

Ferguson has had more than four catches in one of his past seven games, reaching 50 yards through the air in just one of those games as well.

He does still have a 25.8% target share in the red zone (TE4), so you can still chase a touchdown from Ferguson as a streamer.

Seattle has allowed 75.0% of all tight end targets to be completed (23rd), but they have kept tight ends out of the end zone, allowing a 1.3% touchdown rate on those targets, fourth in the league.

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