The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Indianapolis Colts Sunday afternoon game.

Tampa BayRank@IndianapolisRank
-2.5Spread2.5
26.8Implied Total24.3
30.91Points/Gm28.15
22.211Points All./Gm22.313
66.46Plays/Gm62.916
62.313Opp. Plays/Gm62.112
6.22Off. Yards/Play5.812
5.37Def. Yards/Play5.824
32.98%31Rush%45.52%8
67.02%2Pass%54.48%25
33.07%1Opp. Rush %40.41%14
66.93%32Opp. Pass %59.59%19
  • Tampa Bay leads the league in percentage of drives to produce a touchdown (35.1%).
  • 86.2% (25-of-29) of the touchdowns allowed by the Colts have come via passing, the highest rate in the league.
  • 78.4% of the Tampa Bay offensive touchdowns have come via passing, the third-highest rate in the league.
  • The Buccaneers are second in the NFL in rate of first down plays to produce another first down or touchdown (25.1%) while the Colts are third (25.0%).
  • Jonathan Taylor is averaging a league-high 7.3 yards per rushing attempt on first down carries outside of the opponent’s 10-yard line. 
  • Tampa Bay is allowing 3.5 YPC on those first down rushing attempts, second in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Tom Brady (TRUST): Brady has more mortal moments of late, throwing for 7.1 yards per pass attempt or fewer in four of his past five games, but he still has thrown multiple touchdown passes in six straight games and in eight of 10 games this season. 

This week, he goes into Indianapolis to face a Colts defense that was game against Josh Allen and the Bills last week, but still ranks 30th in the NFL in pressure rate (18.4%) and 31st in blitz rate (16.5%). Even in limiting Allen last week, the Colts still rank 29th in points allowed per pass attempt (0.51) and 31st in passing points allowed per game (17.7), allowing multiple touchdown passes in eight of their 10 games this season. 

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