The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers at Las Vegas Raiders Sunday afternoon game.

LA ChargersRank@Las VegasRank
-1.5Spread1.5
26Implied Total24.5
22.913Points/Gm24.110
25.629Points All./Gm25.126
673Plays/Gm62.119
61.510Opp. Plays/Gm63.219
5.222Off. Yards/Play5.95
630Def. Yards/Play5.928
33.92%31Rush%38.36%24
66.08%2Pass%61.64%9
45.20%26Opp. Rush %43.45%19
54.80%7Opp. Pass %56.55%14
  • Games in Las Vegas are averaging 52.5 combined points per game, second most in the league.
  • The Raiders are third in the NFL in the rate of scoring drives (45.5%) while the Chargers are 11th (38.8%).
  • The Chargers are 28th in the rate of scoring drives allowed (43.0%) while the Raiders are 27th (42.5%).
  • The Raiders have allowed a touchdown on 28.3% of opponent possessions, 30th in the league.
  • 40.5% of the drives against the Chargers have reached the red zone or scored prior, the third-highest rate in the league and only ahead of the Falcons (40.9%) and Lions (42.9%).
  • The Raiders have had just four drives start in opponent’s territory, the fewest in the league.
  • The Chargers are averaging 1.6 fewer yards per rushing play than their opponent, the worst differential in the league.
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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Justin Herbert (TRUST): Herbert has bounced in the fantasy world the past two weeks with 19.7 points (QB11) and 28.8 points (QB3). 

We still cannot do anything about the offensive structure this season as Herbert still only averaged 5.8 yards per attempt last week, but the Chargers have all but abandoned running the football. As a byproduct, Herbert is averaging a league-high 45.8 dropbacks per game. If Herbert is going to nickel and dime based on all of the elements in play this season, at least he is bringing a pile of change weekly. 

Herbert has caught two of the best matchups in the league the past two weeks and he gets another one this week. The Raiders are allowing 16.9 passing points per game (29th) and have allowed nine QB1 scoring weeks this season. 

Over his past three games versus the Raiders, Herbert has scored 23.3, 21.3, and 27.4 fantasy points.

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