The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 2 Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens Sunday afternoon game.

MiamiRank@BaltimoreRank
3.5Spread-3.5
20Implied Total23.5
2017Points/Gm249
72Points All./Gm94
5923Plays/Gm5330
544Opp. Plays/Gm7930
5.219Off. Yards/Play5.220
115Def. Yards/Play84.8
38.98%19Rush%39.62%18
61.02%14Pass%60.38%15
40.74%17Opp. Rush %21.52%1
59.26%16Opp. Pass %78.48%32
  • Miami was 28th in the league in percentage of yardage to come via rushing (21.2%) while Baltimore was 23rd (22.9%).
  • Miami was 25th in yards before contact per carry (0.57) while Baltimore was 28th (0.19) in Week 1.
  • The 63 rushing yards by Baltimore in Week 1 were their fewest in a game with Lamar Jackson as the starting quarterback.
  • The Dolphins were the league’s slowest-paced team in Week 1, running a play once every 33.1 seconds of possession.
  • Miami created pressure on a league-low 3.8% of dropbacks without a blitz in Week 1.

Quarterback

Lamar Jackson: Jackson kicked off the season with a QB8 (20.2 points) scoring week. He got there on the strength of three touchdown passes, completing just 56.7% of his passes while rushing for only 17 yards. 

This spot was a tough one for Jackson in 2021. Where Jackson found the most issues in 2021 was against the blitz. When opposing teams sent extra defenders Jackson threw for just 6.5 yards per pass attempt (24th). When Jackson was not blitzed, he averaged 8.1 Y/A (second). 

When these teams met in Week 10 last year, the Dolphins just flooded Jackson with blitzes and pressure. Miami blitzed Jackson on a career-high 60% of his dropbacks in that game, with Jackson ending that game going 26-of-43 for 238 yards (5.5 Y/A) with one touchdown and an interception. He added nine carries for 39 yards, posting 15.4 fantasy points.

The Jets only blitzed Jackson five times on Sunday. 

Miami sent extra rushers on 30.3% of Mac Jones’s dropbacks in Week 1, which was the 11th-highest rate in the league. After allowing 0.39 points per pass attempt in 2021 (seventh), Miami allowed 0.35 points per pass attempt in Week 1. It does not help things that Ronnie Stanley is still likely working his way back to the field while the Ravens lost his replacement Ja’Wuan James for the season in Week 1.

Jackson always carries a ceiling due to his rushing ability, but there is more volatility in this matchup if Miami is going to come after him the way they did last year and he cannot calibrate.

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