The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 New York Giants at Dallas Cowboys Sunday afternoon game.
|42.08%||18||Opp. Rush %||27.94%||2|
|57.92%||15||Opp. Pass %||72.06%||31|
- The Cowboys are averaging 7.6 yards per play on first down, the most in the league.
- Dallas running backs are averaging 2.25 yards before contact per carry, the most in the league.
- Just 12.8% of the fantasy points allowed by the Cowboys have come via rushing, second in the league behind the Buccaneers (6.9%).
- The Giants are last in the NFL in red zone conversion rate at 33.3% (4-of-12).
- The Cowboys have forced a turnover on 23.3% of opposing possessions, the highest rate in the league.
Dak Prescott: Prescott has opened the year with 20 or more points in three of the four games this season. The Cowboys have skewed run-heavy the past three weeks with Prescott throwing just 27, 26, and 22 passes. As a result, Prescott has thrown for just 237, 238, and 188 yards, but has made up for that yardage and volume by throwing seven touchdown passes the past two weeks. We cannot rely on a 14.6% touchdown rate to carry us the rest of the way, even for a player as good as Prescott.
We will need the Cowboys to open things up at some point and we could get that here. 67.9% of the yardage allowed by the Giants has come via passing. That is only mid-pack, but the past three opponents Dallas has faced have all been complete run funnels in the bottom five of that category.
The Giants are allowing 0.47 points per pass attempt (16th) and 16.8 passing points per game (18th), but are allowing 3.5 more points per game than their opponents average on the season with Teddy Bridgewater, Jameis Winston, Taylor Heinicke, and Matt Ryan as part of the sample. Prescott is multiple rungs above those passers.
I do believe we will see the Cowboys throw a bit more here than in recent weeks with Prescott as a clear QB1, but we need the Giants to play their part in pressing the scoreboard.