The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars at Detroit Lions Sunday afternoon game.

JacksonvilleRank@DetroitRank
-1.5Spread1.5
25Implied Total26.5
22.216Points/Gm258
21.114Points All./Gm28.232
63.814Plays/Gm62.916
63.723Opp. Plays/Gm6630
5.611Off. Yards/Play5.88
5.721Def. Yards/Play6.332
42.02%14Rush%44.80%13
57.98%19Pass%55.20%20
42.51%15Opp. Rush %44.90%24
57.49%18Opp. Pass %55.10%9
  • Games in Detroit are averaging a league-high 60.7 combined points per game.
  • Detroit has scored a touchdown on 35.4% of their red zone plays, third in the league.
  • Detroit has allowed opponents to score a touchdown on 25.7% of their red zone plays, 30th in the league.
  • The Jaguars have scored a touchdown on 18.3% of their drives in the first half of games (20th) while scoring a touchdown on 28.6% of their second half drives (second in the league).
  • Detroit is allowing 2.52 points per drive, the most in the league.
  • Over the past four weeks, the Jaguars are allowing 39.8 yards per drive (31st) while the Lions are allowing 39.0 yards per drive (30th).
  • Jacksonville is allowing 6.3 yards per play since Week 8, 31st in the league.
  • Over that same span, Detroit is allowing 6.2 yards per play (30th).
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Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Trevor Lawrence (TRUST): Lawrence delivered in a tough matchup last week, closing as the QB5 (24.9 points) against the Ravens. He caught fire late to lead a furious comeback. Lawrence was 15-of-19 for 173 yards (9.1 Y/A) with two touchdowns and a two-point conversion in the fourth quarter on Sunday.

With that game, Lawrence has now been a QB1 scorer in five of his past six games played and a top-six scorer in four of those games. He is no longer a player we have to play matchups with and should be a 1QB starter.

That is especially the case here against a Detroit defense we have picked on all season long. The Lions are 28th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.462), 30th in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.9 Y/A), and 25th in touchdown rate (4.7%) allowed to opposing passers.

Lawrence can also move to take advantage of the league-high 7.8 rushing points allowed per game by Detroit to opposing quarterbacks.

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