The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 New York Jets at Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon game.
| NY Jets | Rank | @ | Minnesota | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spread | -3 | ||
| 21.25 | Implied Total | 24.25 | ||
| 20.9 | 20 | Points/Gm | 23.8 | 12 |
| 17.8 | 4 | Points All./Gm | 23.4 | 21 |
| 61.9 | 20 | Plays/Gm | 64.5 | 12 |
| 63.7 | 23 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.5 | 26 |
| 5.3 | 20 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 19 |
| 4.8 | 3 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.1 | 31 |
| 41.12% | 17 | Rush% | 36.20% | 30 |
| 58.88% | 16 | Pass% | 63.80% | 3 |
| 43.08% | 18 | Opp. Rush % | 40.85% | 10 |
| 56.92% | 15 | Opp. Pass % | 59.15% | 23 |
- The Jets have led for 28.1% of their offensive snaps, the second-lowest rate among all teams with a winning record.
- The Vikings have led for 33.2% of their offensive snaps, the third-lowest rate among all winning teams.
- The Jets are first in the NFL in fourth quarter point differential (+51) while the Vikings are second (+50).
- The Jets are allowing 27.0 yards per drive, third in the league.
- Minnesota is allowing 34.1 yards per drive, 25th in the league.
- Opponents have scored on 48.3% of their drives against Minnesota over the past five weeks, the highest rate in the league.
- Just 22.8% of the drives against Minnesota have failed to gain a first down or score a touchdown, the second-lowest rate in the league. Ahead of only the Lions (21.9%).
- Minnesota is allowing 7.2 yards per passing play (31st) while the Jets are allowing 5.4 yards per passing play (fifth).
Quarterback
Kirk Cousins: Cousins was able to kick the primetime narrative to the curb on Thanksgiving, carving the Patriots for 30-of-37 passing, 299 yards, and three touchdowns. His 81.1% completion rate was his highest of the season and the fourth-highest rate for a passer against New England since Bill Belichick joined the team.
Cousins was excellent under pressure, which had been a major thorn for him this season. He was under pressure for 39.5% of his dropbacks, completing 13-of-14 passes for 168 yards and two touchdowns with just one sack on those plays.
It has not always been clean for Cousins this year, but he now has logged a QB1 scoring week in 7-of-11 games this season.
Cousins will get another test this week against a Jets defense that is eighth in pressure rate (34.6%), fifth in yards allowed per attempt (6.6 Y/A), and third in touchdown rate (2.7%) surrendered to opposing passers.
Like the Patriots a week ago, the Jets also have had an extremely light gauntlet of opposing passers so far. The only fantasy QB1 options they faced have been Lamar Jackson (18.5 passing points), Joe Burrow (23.0 passing points), and Josh Allen (4.2 passing points). Both Jackson and Burrow got over early in the season while Allen was limited as a passer and forced to do his lifting on the ground. Cousins does not have that out.
At the risk of getting dunked on by Cousins again, I still am treating him as a better 2QB play than expecting a spike week for those looking for a ceiling in 1QB leagues.
