NFL Showdown is not about who you play as much as how you play them.

Median projections are a tool in the toolbox, but they are to be trusted far less than they would be on the main slate. This is because of the large ramifications associated with a single player underproducing or overproducing relative to their projection.

The most likely outcome is only one of infinite outcomes.

When ownership dictates that the field has the game figured out, lean into builds around a different scenario.

The term “any given Sunday” should be the mantra for successfully building Showdown lineups.

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Slate Breakdown

The Denver Broncos are heading to Buffalo to take on the Bills as 7-point underdogs. The total is set at 47.5.

Given Buffalo’s recent woes, it’s not surprising to see them as only a touchdown favorite over one of the worst teams in the league. Even still, a sizeable home spread with a total flirting with 50 bodes well for the Bills.

The field may be tired of rolling out the same Bills onslaughts that have been failing all year, but those are exactly what makes sense on this slate.

Meanwhile, the Broncos are going to be creeping their way into optimizers, making it that much more important to find unique combinations.

Injury Notes

No injuries of note

Denver Broncos Offense

Tier 1 DFS Showdown Plays:

Russell Wilson $9,400 –

Wilson is in a unique situation where he’s one of the best values of the slate and can be the highest point producer but still is not worth rostering at captain. This is because for Wilson to be the optimal captain, he would need at least two of his primary pass catchers, which would remove the Allen/Diggs stack from consideration. Not to mention how uncommon it is to see a quarterback lose by a touchdown and still manage to finish as the optimal captain. He is a flex priority, which leads to prioritizing Bills 4-2s.


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