Week 3 DFS Picks: Tournament Plays

Every week, I will go through the players I am targeting to play in DFS for all games, tournaments, and game stacks.

The idea is that this will paint a clearer picture of framing lineups.

It is not that tournament players cannot be used in cash games.

If a player here works out for your team structure in cash games surrounding your primary core, use them.

These are just the players that come with some element of inherent risk, but are the primary players that I still want to be ahead of the field on, compared to the percentage of rosters they are projected to make this weekend.

I will analyze the player selections and game writeups, but please refer to the Week 3 Worksheet for a detailed breakdown of the players and games.

Quarterback

Caleb Williams ($7,100/$5,600)

Williams will be facing a more passive Dallas defense.

Dallas is 23rd in pressure rate (30.8%) and 26th in blitz rate (16.7%).

They have played man coverage at the lowest rate in the league (4.7%).

Dallas has struggled when they have not gotten to the quarterback.

Without pressure, opposing quarterbacks have connected on 39 of 47 passes (83%) for 11.1 yards per pass attempt and 2 touchdowns.

Dallas is fresh off allowing 450 yards passing to Russell Wilson, a week after it looked like he could be benched.

They have also allowed a league-high 78 scramble yards through two weeks.

Kyler Murray ($7,400/$6,100)

Murray has opened the season with underwhelming performances, considering he started the year with games against the Saints and Panthers.

Part of that limited output has been due to Arizona controlling those games.

The Cardinals have a 67.2% dropback rate in the first half of games (6th), but that has dropped to 54.9% in the second half of games (21st).

Murray is fourth in the NFL in rating in the first half (126.1), completing 22 of 31 (71%) throws for 7.8 yards per attempt and 3 touchdowns.

In the second half, he is 29th with a 67.3 rating, completing 16 of 23 passes (69.6%) for 6.1 Y/A with 0 touchdowns and an interception.

Arizona should be expected to stay aggressive throughout the whole game here.

More dropbacks also should lead to more runs.

Murray has scrambled more to start the season, running on 10.4% of his dropbacks, which would be a career high if that holds.

Murray is not a stranger to facing a Robert Saleh defense.

In four starts against Saleh when he was with the 49ers, Murray averaged 22.9 fantasy points per game.

Those were much more talented units than this current one.

In his lone start against Saleh when he was with the Jets, Murray was the QB4 (28.7 points).

Where Murray has gotten over in those matchups is through his legs.

He has rushed for 57.6 yards per game over those five starts with 4 touchdowns.

Running Back