Welcome to the Conference Championship Round edition of The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview, by Rich Hribar.
For those that are new to this article, just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean that fantasy football stops. The fantasy playoffs offer a host of new opportunities for playoff leagues, props betting, and daily fantasy games.
With the Chiefs, Bills, Packers, and Buccaneers all moving on, we are down to the final four.
Some Conference Championship Round recent history. Home teams have dominated the closing round of the conference playoffs. Since 2002, home teams are 25-11 straight up. Those games have been slightly tighter against the spread, with those same teams posting a 21-15 record against the line.
Favorites have a large amount of overlap to those home teams and have an equally strong 25-11 record straight up over that span, but a tighter 19-17 record against the spread.
No. 1 seeds in Conference Championships are even stronger, sporting a 19-6 record straight up, with a 15-10 record against the spread.
No. 1 seeds facing a No. 2 seed, like Kansas City this week, make up a 16-game sample in that above pocket of games, turning in an 11-5 record (9-7 ATS).
Non-No. 1 seeds have not had as much fortune, with a 17-30 record straight up and 21-26 against the spread.
If you are a team like the Buccaneers, who did not win their division and have had to win three straight games on the road to make the Super Bowl, things get even tougher in the Conference Championship Round. Since 2002, those teams are 3-7 straight up and against the spread, with just one (the 2010 Packers) of the past seven teams in this spot winning outright. Just three of those 10 teams faced an opposing No. 1 seed, with all three losing and failing to cover.
This article will be updated throughout the week to reflect major news or injury implications. I encourage that you use the game by game tables and data points here in conjunction with the player rankings that will be available every week this season on Thursdays and enjoy the games.
Click the matchups below for the individual game previews.
All lines are taken from VegasInsider