Welcome to the Divisional Round edition of The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview, by Rich Hribar.
For those that are new to this article, just because the fantasy regular season has ended doesn’t mean that fantasy football stops. The fantasy playoffs offer a host of new opportunities for playoff leagues, props betting, and daily fantasy games.
Super Wild Card Weekend was a success in its first season, providing a couple of upsets and setting up a great looking set of games this weekend.
Some Divisional Round history. Since 2002, home teams have done their part, posting a 50-22 record straight up, but the games have proven closer than expected as those teams are just 33-39 against the spread over that span. Of course, most of those teams were favorites, with favored teams notching a 49-23 record (32-40 ATS).
While the favorites have held their own, we still usually see at least one upset per season in this round. Over that same 18-year span, all four favorites have won outright in just four of those seasons.
This season, only the No. 1 seed in each conference had a bye, so there’s no added rest advantage for the No. 2 seeds who played a week ago.
No. 1 seeds in the Divisional Round have a 25-11 record over that same window, but also just a 14-22 record against the spread. We have not seen a top seed drop out often of late, losing just twice combined regardless of conference over the past eight seasons, but one of those was a year ago when Baltimore was upset at home by the Titans.
This article will be updated throughout the week to reflect major news or injury implications. I encourage that you use the game by game tables and data points here in conjunction with the player rankings that will be available every week this season on Thursdays and enjoy the games.
Click the matchups below for the individual game previews.
All lines are taken from VegasInsider