The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 5 Green Bay Packers at Cincinnati Bengals Sunday afternoon game.

Green BayRank@CincinnatiRank
26.3Implied Total23.3
2519Points All./Gm18.88
59.88Opp. Plays/Gm6726
5.222Off. Yards/Play5.911
5.28Def. Yards/Play4.85
39.75%11Opp. Rush %37.69%7
60.25%22Opp. Pass %62.31%26
  • Just 6.4% of all of the Cincinnati plays have been run inside of the red zone, the lowest rate in the league. League average is 14.4%.
  • Joe Burrow already has four touchdown passes on throws over 15 yards downfield (tied for the league lead) after just one as a rookie on 74 attempts.
  • The Bengals are averaging 2.8 more yards per passing attempt than their opponent, the highest difference in the league.
  • Aaron Rodgers has an expected completion percentage of 62.8%, which is 30th in the league. That mark was 66.4% in 2020, 10th. 
  • In 2020, Rodgers was 4.4% over expectation (third) while this season is it 1.8% (15th).


Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers has just one game through four weeks in which he has hit 8.0 yards per pass attempt and has a season-high of just 261 passing yards, but he has bounced back from a Week 1 egg of 1.3 points for 26.2, 19.0, and 24.1 points the past three weeks with multiple touchdown passes in each game. There is regression from his elite 2020 season, but the floor has still been high outside of the season opener. 

The Bengals have cruised through games against the Bears quarterbacks and Ben Roethlisberger, but allowed Kirk Cousins to complete 74% of his passes for 351 yards (22.0 points) and Trevor Lawrence to complete 71% of his passes for 8.5 yards per pass attempt (17.7 points) to keep us honest to open the year. The Bengals are also 24th in pressure rate (22%), the one thing that has given Rodgers the most trouble to open the year. Rodgers has averaged just 5.3 Y/A under pressure as opposed to 7.8 Y/A when kept clean. That clean mark is still just 22nd in the league, but the 2.5 Y/A difference is the 27th-largest difference in the league. Continue to use Rodgers as a QB1.

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