The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 10 matchup between the 49ers and Rams.
Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| LA Rams | Rank | @ | San Francisco | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 26.5 | Implied Total | 23.0 | ||
| 26.1 | 8 | Points/Gm | 21.6 | 23 |
| 15.9 | 2 | Points All./Gm | 20.9 | 10 |
| 63.3 | 11 | Plays/Gm | 65.6 | 3 |
| 64.0 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.0 | 14 |
| 5.8 | 7 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.4 | 16 |
| 4.7 | 5 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.5 | 20 |
| 43.08% | 13 | Rush% | 42.20% | 18 |
| 56.92% | 20 | Pass% | 57.80% | 15 |
| 39.84% | 10 | Opp. Rush % | 42.81% | 17 |
| 60.16% | 23 | Opp. Pass % | 57.19% | 16 |
- The Rams lead the NFL in defensive EPA (64.1).
- San Francisco has converted 81.8% (9 of 11) of their red zone trips into touchdowns over their past four games after a 42.1% (8 of 19) rate before that (28th).
- San Francisco leads the NFL with 11.3 passing plays of 10 or more yards per game.
- The Rams lead the league in success rate on passing plays over the past four weeks (55.8%).
- The 49ers are 28th in EPA as a pass defense (-63.1) after ranking second-to-last in the league over the past five games (-53.9).
- The 49ers have allowed 6.1 yards per play over their past five games (30th) after 4.6 yards per play prior (6th).
- The 49ers have scored 13 points off turnovers this season, tied for the 2nd fewest in the league.
- The Rams average needing just 5.8 yards to gain on third down this season.
- The 49ers are 3rd, needing 6.2 yards per third down.
- The Rams only reach third down on 39.7% of their sets of downs, 2nd in the league.
- The 49ers are at 45.7%, 11th in the league.
- The 49ers are the only team in the league without a run of 20 or more yards.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Matthew Stafford: Stafford has been scorching of late.
He has had four QB1-scoring weeks over his past five games.
Stafford has thrown multiple passing touchdowns in six of his past seven games, with 3 or more passing touchdowns in four of his past five.
He leads the NFL in passing touchdowns (21) and passing points per game for fantasy (20.7).
Keep plugging in Stafford as a QB1 here.
The 49ers have suffered so many injuries on defense, which has caught up with them in terms of production allowed.
Over their past six games, the 49ers are 31st in pressure rate (26.4%) and 31st in sack rate (2.8%).
Over that span, San Francisco has allowed 7.4 yards per pass attempt (22nd) and a 5.8% touchdown rate (18th).
They have allowed four QB1 scoring weeks over that span, which includes Stafford himself.
When these teams played in Week 5, Stafford threw for a season-high 389 yards and 3 touchdowns.
That was an overtime game where the Rams chased points throughout, so we won’t expect those yardage totals, but Stafford's touchdown production has been steady.
The 49ers traded for Keion White before last week’s game.
White made his debut on Sunday, creating 1 pressure on 16 pass rush snaps.
Mac Jones: The feeling is that Brock Purdy is not quite ready to play at full strength, which puts Jones in line to make his eighth start of the season.
Jones has only two QB1 scoring weeks this season and is still best used as floor-based QB2.
Los Angeles is ninth in passing points allowed per game (12.3).
They have allowed 6.5 yards per pass attempt (4th) and a 3.2% touchdown rate (7th).
The Rams are fifth in the league in pressure rate (40.6%) while blitzing only 19.6% of the time (28th).
That said, there is still upside for this game to be high scoring and to produce points.
One of those QB1 scoring weeks for Jones was when these teams played in Week 5.
When these teams played in Week 5, San Francisco worked with a skeleton crew on offense and still posted 407 total yards and 26 points.
In that game, the Rams had a 28.6% pressure rate, their second-lowest of the season.
They had 1 sack.
Kyle Shanahan was in his bag that night.
Jones passed for 342 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game, with Kendrick Bourne and Jake Tonges each receiving 11 targets.
They have already gotten George Kittle and Jauan Jennings back, who were unavailable for that game.
Running Back
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Learn MoreMore Week 10 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Raiders @ Broncos | Thursday Night Football |
| Falcons @ Colts | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Giants @ Bears | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Vikings | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Commanders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Chargers | Sunday Night Football |
| Eagles @ Packers | Monday Night Football |