The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 13 Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers Sunday afternoon game.
|34.81%||2||Opp. Rush %||43.62%||23|
|65.19%||31||Opp. Pass %||56.38%||10|
- The Ravens are first in the league in rushing yardage per game over opponent (66.5 yards per game).
- The Steelers are 31st in rushing yardage differential per game versus opponent (-46.0 yards).
- Over the past four weeks, the Steelers have 366 (-91.5 yards per game) fewer rushing yards than their opponents, the largest differential in the league.
- The Ravens lead the NFL in the rate of rushes allowed to gain zero yards (27.8%).
- Pittsburgh running backs are averaging 0.85 yards prior to contact per carry, ahead of only the Texans (0.72).
- Baltimore has scored a touchdown on just 3-of-35 drives (8.6%) over the past three weeks, last in the league.
- The Ravens are 30th in points per play (0.188) over the past three weeks after ranking 12th (0.384) prior.
- The Ravens are third in the league in winning percentage (.727) but are 18th in the league in percentage of offensive plays with the lead (33.9%).
- Baltimore is 31st in the league in sacks plus turnovers allowed per game (4.8).
Trust = spike production for that player
Lamar Jackson: Jackson is coming off a horrendous Sunday night game in which he threw a career-high four interceptions and scored single-digit fantasy points for the first time this season.
After averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt over the opening five games this season, Jackson has now averaged 6.3 Y/A over his past five games.
Pressure has been a huge deal for the Ravens’ signal-caller this season. Jackson has been sacked on 8.1% of his dropbacks, his highest rate since his rookie season. Under pressure, Jackson has completed 50.0% of his passes for 6.8 Y/A compared to a 70.0% completion rate and 8.0 Y/A when kept clean.
The Steelers are a defense that has been built on generating pressure, but with all of their recent absences on defense, they have sagged down to 17th in the league in pressure rate (24.8%). With T.J. Watt placed on the COVID list with an uphill battle to play on Sunday, that is another significant loss for them this weekend.
This is not the Pittsburgh defense of year’s past, currently ranking 21st in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.6 Y/A) while they have also struggled with mobile passers. Josh Allen (44 yards), Justin Fields (45 yards), and Justin Herbert (90 yards) have all added a passing touchdown’s worth of rushing points against the Steelers this season. Although his passing output has waned, Jackson has still rushed for 50-plus yards in eight of his 10 games. As long as he reels in the turnovers, his floor can bounce back as a QB1.