The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Houston Texans at Las Vegas Raiders Sunday afternoon game.
| Houston | Rank | @ | Las Vegas | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spread | -7 | ||
| 19.25 | Implied Total | 26.25 | ||
| 17.2 | 26 | Points/Gm | 25 | 6 |
| 19.8 | 13 | Points All./Gm | 26 | 28 |
| 58.6 | 27 | Plays/Gm | 62.4 | 19 |
| 71.4 | 32 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63 | 14 |
| 5 | 26 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 9 |
| 5.8 | 24 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 22 |
| 39.25% | 17 | Rush% | 36.86% | 24 |
| 60.75% | 16 | Pass% | 63.14% | 9 |
| 45.38% | 26 | Opp. Rush % | 40.95% | 14 |
| 54.62% | 7 | Opp. Pass % | 59.05% | 19 |
- The Raiders are averaging 2.43 points per drive, trailing only the Chiefs (2.77) and Bills (2.65).
- 42.9% of the Las Vegas possessions have reached the red zone or scored prior, sixth in the league.
- 20.7% of the Houston possessions have reached the red zone or scored prior, the lowest rate in the league.
- 24.1% of the Houston offensive plays have resulted in a first down or touchdown, 31st in the league.
- Houston is allowing a gain of 20 or more yards once every 12.3 plays, the highest rate in the league.
- The Raiders are allowing a league-high 2.8 red zone touchdowns per game.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Derek Carr: Carr is coming out of the bye week as the QB11 in points per game (16.4) with three QB1 scoring weeks over his five games played. Carr has thrown exactly two passing touchdowns in four of his five games.
Carr’s QB1 weeks have come in strong matchups against the Cardinals, Titans, and Chiefs, all teams that were at the bottom of the league in passing points allowed entering the matchup.
The Texans have been surprisingly good to open the year against the pass, allowing a 57.6% completion rate (third), a 2.2% touchdown rate (third), and 0.31 passing points per attempt (sixth) to opposing passers. They have run a bit fortunate as they are allowing 7.1 yards per attempt (17th) in the context of those other rankings in part because they have not had an overly hard draw out of the gates facing Matt Ryan, Russell Wilson, Justin Fields, and Trevor Lawrence outside of Justin Herbert, who threw for 340 yards and a pair of scores.
Carr is a large home favorite attached to a high team total, which warrants a look as a fringe QB1.
