The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Steelers and Seahawks.
Find a breakdown of every Week 2 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
Seattle | Rank | @ | Pittsburgh | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
18.5 | Implied Total | 21.5 | ||
13.0 | 24 | Points/Gm | 34.0 | 3 |
17.0 | 12 | Points All./Gm | 32.0 | 28 |
50.0 | 27 | Plays/Gm | 54.0 | 26 |
72.0 | 31 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 62.0 | 16 |
4.6 | 23 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.0 | 17 |
5.3 | 21 | Def. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 28 |
52.00% | 7 | Rush% | 37.04% | 26 |
48.00% | 26 | Pass% | 62.96% | 7 |
50.00% | 24 | Opp. Rush % | 62.90% | 32 |
50.00% | 9 | Opp. Pass % | 37.10% | 1 |
- The Steelers used play action on 33.3% of their dropbacks, fourth in the league in Week 1. They had a 26.3% play action rate in 2024 (15th).
- Pittsburgh used a league-high 53.7% rate of 12 personnel (one running back and two tight ends) in Week 1.
- The Steelers had a 46.9% success rate defensively in Week 1 (31st). They had a 59.1% success rate on defense in 2024 (11th).
- Seattle running backs failed to gain yardage on 31.8% of their runs, 30th in the league.
- 31.6% of Pittsburgh running back runs failed to gain yardage, 29th in the league.
- The Steelers had a 55.6% success rate against running back runs in Week 1 (24th) after a 62.7% rate in 2024 (14th).
- The Seahawks had a 41.2% dropback rate in neutral game situations, the second-lowest rate in Week 1 (league average was 59.4%).
- The Seahawks had the lowest play action rate in the league in Week 1 (4.3%). The league rate was 22.1%.
- 29.2% of Sam Darnold‘s dropbacks resulted in a loss of -1.0 EPA or worse, the highest rate in Week 1. Darnold was 25th in that area in 2024 (17.7%).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers: Rodgers entered this year coming off a run of starting slowly in Week 1, but that was not the case in his first start with the Steelers.
Rodgers ended the week as QB7 (25.7 points), completing 22 of 30 passes (73.3%) for 244 yards (8.1 Y/A) with 4 touchdowns.
Rodgers closed 2024 with a 4 touchdown performance as well, and he has thrown 22 touchdowns to just 4 interceptions over his past 11 games played.
It was not just the final line from Rodgers. It was also how he got there in Week 1.
He was fully bought into this Arthur Smith offense.
Pittsburgh used play action on 33.3% of his dropbacks.
Rodgers has not hit a 30% play action in a season since 2020.
Using play action, Rodgers was 8 of 10 for 101 yards (10.1 Y/A) with 3 touchdowns.
Pittsburgh also moved him with boots and rollouts.
He threw 3 touchdowns from outside of the pocket, the most he has had in a game since 2020.
Pittsburgh also had him getting the ball out.
Rodgers had the fastest time to throw in Week 1 (2.29 seconds from the snap) while he averaged only 4.6 air yards per attempt (second lowest of Week 1).
As a byproduct, 70.9% of his passing yards were after the catch, the highest rate of Week 1.
While all of those were positive signs, we are still handling Rodgers as QB2 here.
We cannot count on that kind of touchdown production remaining steady while Rodgers still offered no rushing output.
Pittsburgh has another low team total here and draws a Seattle defense that we still respect to open the year.
We would gladly welcome another shootout outcome in a lower-total game, but betting on that still takes a step of faith.
If looking for efficiency opportunities, Seattle did allow 7.9 yards per pass attempt (23rd) and a 5.7% touchdown rate (25th) in Week 1.
Sam Darnold: Darnold completed 16 of 23 (69.6%) passes for 150 yards (6.5 Y/A) without a touchdown in his first start with the Seahawks.
He added 14 rushing yards but lost a fumble, ending the Week as QB30 (5.4 points).
Seattle never developed a flow on offense.
They did not run the ball well and did not incorporate any play action passing or much pre-snap motion, things that were counted on from a Klint Kubiak offense.
Perhaps the familiarity between Kubiak and Robert Saleh impacted his approach, but Seattle was last in the league in using play action while they were 24th in motion rate.
We need more proof of putting Darnold in better situations before we can use him as more than a lower-end QB2.
Especially with Seattle sporting a team total below 20 points on the road.
The Pittsburgh defense did not play at the level we are used to from this unit in the opener, but they were given fits by a creative Jets run game that stemmed from Justin Fields’ mobility.
Seattle does not have that option.
Pittsburgh is banged up if looking for a reason for them to continue to underperform in Week 2.
Joey Porter Jr. left last week's game with a hamstring injury.
Safety DeShon Elliott left with a knee injury.
Linebacker Malik Harrison left with a knee injury.
We will follow the status of those players, but even if they do miss Week 2, that will create more of a fantasy opportunity for the skill players in this offense over elevating Darnold beyond his QB2 station.
Running Back
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More Week 2 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
Matchup | Time |
---|---|
Commanders @ Packers | Thursday Night Football |
Jaguars @ Bengals | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Giants @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Bears @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Rams @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Patriots @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
49ers @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Bills @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Seahawks @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Browns @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
Broncos @ Colts | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Panthers @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
Eagles @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
Falcons @ Vikings | Sunday Night Football |
Bucs @ Texans | Monday Night Football |
Chargers @ Raiders | Monday Night Football |