The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 6 matchup between the Bucs and 49ers.
Find a breakdown of every Week 6 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| San Francisco | Rank | @ | Tampa Bay | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
| 22.25 | Implied Total | 25.25 | ||
| 21.2 | 22 | Points/Gm | 27.0 | 7 |
| 19.6 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 26.4 | 23 |
| 69.6 | 1 | Plays/Gm | 63.6 | 10 |
| 61.6 | 18 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 58.4 | 10 |
| 5.4 | 17 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 11 |
| 5.1 | 10 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 15 |
| 39.94% | 24 | Rush% | 43.08% | 16 |
| 60.06% | 9 | Pass% | 56.92% | 17 |
| 42.86% | 15 | Opp. Rush % | 41.78% | 11 |
| 57.14% | 18 | Opp. Pass % | 58.22% | 22 |
- Tampa Bay has led for 34.6% of their offensive snaps, 19th in the league.
- The 49ers have led for 33.1% of their offensive snaps, 22nd in the league.
- The Buccaneers have trailed for 51.3% of their offensive snaps, 22nd in the league.
- The 49ers have trailed for 28.7% of their offensive snaps, sixth in the league.
- The 49ers have not forced an interception in 12 consecutive games, the longest streak in the league since 1932.
- The Buccaneers have turned the ball over on 3.8% of their drives, third in the league.
- The 49ers have turned the ball over on 15.1% of their drives, 29th in the league.
- San Francisco leads the league in passing plays of 10 or more yards (65).
- Tampa Bay has 20 passing plays of 20 or more yards, second in the league.
- The 49ers are 31st in the league in EPA as a rushing offense (-26.1).
- The Buccaneers are 28th in EPA as a rushing offense (-21.1).
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Baker Mayfield: Mayfield continues to find a way to deliver for gamers as a QB1.
One week, it was accompanied by an outlier touchdown rate.
Another week, it is having a spike in rushing output.
Another week, it is being hyper-efficient with 4 incompletions and 11.5 yards per pass attempt.
He keeps getting there.
Mayfield has been QB13 or higher in every game this season.
In the context of everything that has happened with the Buccaneers on the injury front, it is a testament to how well Mayfield has performed.
Mayfield is QB5 in points per game (21.1).
He has 10 touchdowns to 1 interception.
Keep pushing Mayfield out as a QB1.
This week, he draws a San Francisco defense that has been better to open the season under Robert Saleh.
The 49ers have allowed 6.4 yards per pass attempt (8th), but they have allowed a 4.7% touchdown rate (18th) and a 67.1% completion rate (19th).
Spencer Rattler and Matthew Stafford have QB1 weeks against them, so there is no reason to run and hide.
San Francisco has had issues getting to the passer after the loss of Nick Bosa.
Over the past three weeks, San Francisco has had a 28% pressure rate, ranking 28th in the league.
From a clean pocket, Mayfield has a 112.2 rating (12th), completing 70.6% of his passes with 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Mac Jones: We are going into the week anticipating that Jones draws another start this week.
Brock Purdy has not been ruled out, so we will monitor his status and adjust accordingly if he is cleared to return during the week as he recovers from aggravating his turf toe injury.
Jones was put in an unfavorable spot last week against the Rams, down all of his primary receivers, and he went 33 of 49 for 342 yards and a pair of touchdowns.
A few fun notes on Jones.
He has now passed Trey Lance in wins as a starter with the 49ers.
He also became the first San Francisco quarterback to win three consecutive starts in a season while throwing 35 or more times since Steve Young in 1998.
Kyle Shanahan could be having his last laugh here, as Jones is winning games without relying on the infrastructure of the Shanahan run game as a complement.
Jones has finished his starts as QB8, QB17, and QB10.
I do prefer to use him as a higher-end QB2, but he is in the mix as a fringe QB1 option should you need to keep using him in 1QB formats.
The 49ers will need to keep Jones clean this week.
Jones is undoubtedly going to see the blitz.
The Buccaneers are blitzing 34% of the time (6th in the league).
When the Bucs do blitz, they have a 53.1% pressure rate on blitzes, third in the league.
Jones has only been blitzed on 18.2% of his dropbacks, the second-lowest rate in the league.
The only passer with a lower rate is Purdy (15.2%).
Todd Bowles blitzed Purdy 43.9% of the time last season.
But when Jones has been blitzed, he has completed only 54.2% of his passes (28th) for 5.1 yards per pass attempt (29th) and 9.5 yards per completion (30th).
When pressured, Jones has thrown for 5.1 Y/A, 25th in the league.
Running Back
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More Week 6 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Eagles @ Giants | Thursday Night Football |
| Broncos @ Jets | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Patriots @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Steelers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Jaguars | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Ravens | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Bengals @ Packers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Bucs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Chiefs | Sunday Night Football |
| Bills @ Falcons | Monday Night Football |
| Bears @ Commanders | Monday Night Football |
