The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the 49ers vs. Cowboys Week 10 matchup.
Find a breakdown of every Week 10 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| San Francisco | Rank | @ | Dallas | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -4.0 | Spread | 4.0 | ||
| 29.75 | Implied Total | 25.75 | ||
| 29.4 | 3 | Points/Gm | 27.3 | 6 |
| 19.5 | 6 | Points All./Gm | 26.2 | 25 |
| 59.8 | 24 | Plays/Gm | 64.8 | 8 |
| 61.1 | 13 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 64.3 | 23 |
| 6.3 | 1 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 11 |
| 4.8 | 3 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.8 | 29 |
| 49.0% | 4 | Rush% | 40.0% | 23 |
| 51.1% | 29 | Pass% | 60.0% | 10 |
| 39.7% | 6 | Opp. Rush % | 45.9% | 24 |
| 60.3% | 27 | Opp. Pass % | 54.1% | 9 |
- San Francisco leads the NFL in total offensive EPA (67.1).
- Dallas is 3rd in offensive EPA (62.7).
- The 49ers average a league-high 37.0 yards per possession.
- The Cowboys allow a league-high 35.2 yards per opponent possession.
- The 49ers are 9th in total defensive EPA (32.9).
- The Cowboys are 31st in defensive EPA (-49.3).
- The 49ers are the only team in the league that has not yet allowed a 20-plus-yard run.
- The Cowboys have allowed 11 runs of 20-plus yards, tied for the most in the league.
- The 49ers have scored 55 points off takeaways, tied for 5th in the league.
- The Cowboys have scored 14 points off takeaways, 31st.
- The 49ers have converted a league-high 84.6% (22 of 26) of red-zone trips into touchdowns.
Trust = spike production for that player
49ers vs. Cowboys Fantasy Quarterback Preview
Brock Purdy (TRUST)
After a three-game stretch ranking outside the top-10 scorers, Purdy was back at the front of the position on Sunday, finishing the week as the QB4 (25.3 points) against the Raiders.
Purdy completed 17 of 25 passes (68%) for 232 yards (9.3 Y/A) with 2 touchdowns (1 interception), rushing for 40 yards and another score.
Purdy is averaging 4.0 rushing points per game, adding 20-plus rushing yards in six of his eight games this year.
He gets another strong spot here to keep momentum rolling as a front-end QB1.
The Cowboys have had a lighter run of late, facing Jalon Daniels, Tanner McKee, Jacoby Brissett, and Daniel Jones as starters in four of their past five games, but we still have this defense circled for production.
They have allowed 20-plus fantasy points to every quality starter they have faced: C.J. Stroud (23.1 points), Lamar Jackson (20.4 points), and Jordan Love (20.2 points).
Just two weeks ago, they allowed 188 passing yards and 3 touchdowns to Gardner Minshew in just over a quarter and overtime.
Dallas has allowed 15.7 passing points per game (24th), a 65.6% completion rate (26th), 7.3 Y/A (19th), and a 5.4% touchdown rate (24th) to opposing passers.
The 49ers are expecting Deebo Samuel back this week, and they added Keenan Allen at the deadline to shore up the receiver room.
Dak Prescott
Prescott has put together three straight top-10 scoring weeks.
He is coming off a season-high 9.9 yards per pass attempt on Sunday, matching a season-high with 335 passing yards.
He did that as Dallas once again leaned more on the run game.
Dallas threw the ball 5.9% below pass-rate expectations on Sunday, their third straight game below expectations.
Before that, they had zero such games.
It will be interesting to see if they continue that approach here against the 49ers, who have defended the run as well as anyone this season but still see a lot of rushing.
Opponents have thrown the ball 3% below expectations against San Francisco, 30th in the league.
Only two teams (the Commanders and Falcons) have thrown the ball over expectations against the 49ers.
When Dallas does throw, the 49ers have been stingy.
They are eighth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.32), giving up 6.4 yards per pass attempt (3rd) and a 3.9% touchdown rate (9th).
The 49ers have not faced a daunting schedule of opposing passers this year.
The best quarterback they have played was Matthew Stafford in Week 1.
Since then, they have faced Malik Willis, Jacoby Brissett, Bo Nix, Sam Darnold, Jayden Daniels, Michael Penix, and Kirk Cousins.
This will be the best passing game they have faced since the season opener.
The 49ers are making quarterbacks throw short and outside the numbers.
They face 6.1 air yards per pass attempt (3rd lowest) and face a league-low 28.6% throw rate between the numbers.
Prescott has faced a Raheem Morris-led defense three times, scoring 12.3, 28.1, and 39.8 fantasy points in those games.
It will be interesting to see how Morris plays this game.
Teams are playing a lot of two-high coverages against Dallas this season (52.7%).
The 49ers are playing single-high on 59.2% of their snaps (6th) and Cover 3 at the fourth-highest rate (46.2%).
San Francisco ranks second in the NFL in disguise rate from pre-snap to post-snap (39.1%), going from two-high to single-high post-snap 31.6% of the time (the highest rate in the league).
When teams have done that to Prescott, he has completed 30 of 45 passes (66.7%) for 8.7 yards per pass attempt.
The 49ers also could have to work around a few injuries in the secondary this week.
Both Deommodore Lenoir (foot) and Renardo Green (back) left last week's game with injuries.
All in all, Prescott is more volatile in this matchup.
We want Dallas to get back to being more aggressive in the passing game.
But there are avenues for success here, and this game has plenty of shootout appeal to keep Prescott in upside QB1 territory.
49ers vs. Cowboys Fantasy Running Back Preview
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More Week 10 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Week 10 NFL Games | Time |
|---|---|
| Commanders @ Giants | Thursday Night Football |
| Patriots vs. Lions | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Chiefs @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Browns | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Vikings @ Packers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ Titans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Dolphins @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Bills @ Jets | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Seahawks @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Cardinals | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| 49ers @ Cowboys | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Steelers @ Bengals | Sunday Night Football |
| Chargers @ Ravens | Monday Night Football |
