Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season brings us a defensive showdown between the Seahawks and Jets where both should look to impose their will on low-scoring offenses, a potential shootout as the Eagles and Ravens collide in a battle of explosive playmakers, and for those diving into player props, Rachaad White’s recent knack for finding the end zone presents an enticing option as Tampa Bay takes on a vulnerable Panthers defense.
Let’s break it all down and find the best edges for this week’s action!
Week 13 Prediction: Seahawks -1 at Jets
The Seahawks have found their defensive groove at just the right time, a critical edge as they head to MetLife Stadium.
Over their last two games, Seattle's defense has allowed a stingy 23 total points, showcasing their ability to clamp down on opposing offenses.
A standout factor? Leonard Williams wreaked havoc in their recent win over the Cardinals, racking up 7 quarterback pressures and 2.5 sacks, solidifying a front that’s now looking borderline dominant. Against a struggling Jets offensive line, this could spell disaster for New York.
The Jets' offensive woes are glaring.
Despite preseason optimism, their offensive line has crumbled under the weight of miscommunication and poor execution. Their ground game sits at 30th in rushing yards per game, and even with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, the passing attack has failed to click.
Rodgers' 50% completion rate on play-action (30th in the league) underscores a failure to utilize one of his historical strengths. Outdated play-calling, a lack of pre-snap motion, and predictable route trees have only compounded their struggles.
Talents like Garrett Wilson are underutilized, and the Jets are plagued by dropped passes, ranking third-worst in the NFL.
With Seattle’s defensive momentum and New York’s inability to capitalize offensively, back Seattle -1 in Week 13.
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Week 13 Prediction: Seahawks at Jets Under 42
While Seattle’s defense is likely to be the deciding factor in a road cover, their offense will play a role in ensuring this matchup remains a grind-it-out affair.
Geno Smith has faced relentless pressure all season as the third-most sacked quarterback. This constant heat has led to an increased risk of turnovers (28th in giveaways) and has left little time for deep passing plays to develop — four of Smith’s 12 interceptions have come on deep ball attempts.
Adding to the offensive struggles, Seattle’s ground game has been almost non-existent, 28th with 89 rushing yards per game.
The offensive line hasn’t helped matters, coming in at 30th in ESPN’s run-block win rate, making it difficult to establish any rhythm on the ground.
The Jets’ offense has been equally problematic, failing to find cohesion and sustain drives, resulting in both teams tying for the seventh-most punts in the league.
With two struggling offenses and solid defensive efforts on both sides, this game has the makings of a low-scoring grind. Back the Under 42.
Week 13 Prediction: Eagles at Ravens Over 51 points
Philadelphia’s passing attack, led by the ultra-efficient Jalen Hurts, has the potential to exploit Baltimore’s glaring weakness: a secondary that has allowed the most passing yards in the NFL this season.
Hurts, completing 69% of his passes (fifth-best in the league), is poised to carve up the Ravens defense, especially with his ability to extend plays and find receivers deep.
Baltimore, however, won’t go quietly.
The Ravens boast the league’s premier rushing attack, anchored by Derrick Henry, who is fresh off a monster 140-yard performance. Baltimore has recorded 24 rushes of 15+ yards this season, showcasing their ability to turn any carry into a game-breaking play.
The Eagles, while strong overall, have struggled against elite rushing offenses, allowing gaudy numbers to backs like Bijan Robinson (6.9 YPC) and an average of 5.6 yards per carry between the Packers, Bucs, and Browns, and Rams leading backs.
This vulnerability could be Baltimore's ticket to controlling the tempo while putting points on the board.
On the flip side, Philadelphia’s Saquon Barkley is rewriting record books.
Barkley torched the Rams last week with a franchise-record 255 rushing yards including two 70+ yard touchdowns — an NFL first in a single game.
Leading the league with 1,392 rushing yards at a dazzling 5.8 yards per carry, Barkley’s explosiveness ensures the Eagles will have their own big-play answer to Baltimore’s ground dominance.
While Baltimore's run defense is strong, they have been susceptible to chunk plays, allowing 6.7 yards to Chargers RB J.K. Dobbins and 7.3 yards per carry to Justin Herbert last week.
Both teams have shifted from methodical clock-control rushing styles to offenses designed for fireworks.
The Ravens have averaged 35 points per game in their last three wins, while the Eagles have shown they can score in bunches behind their dual-threat attack. With both teams' ability to generate chunk plays and quick scores, this matchup is primed to soar past the total.
Take the Over 51 points and expect a higher-octane affair.
Week 13 Prediction: Rachaad White Anytime Touchdown +140
The Buccaneers have one of the most efficient red zone offenses in the league, third in touchdown rate, and White’s versatile skill set makes him a focal point in those critical scoring opportunities.
White has already found the end zone 6 times this season — 2 on the ground and 4 through the air — showcasing his ability to exploit mismatches in both facets of the game.
The Panthers defense is ripe for the picking, 23rd in rushing touchdowns allowed and 16th in passing touchdowns allowed on defense.
White’s dual-threat ability gives him multiple pathways to pay dirt, whether it’s bulldozing through a porous front seven or slipping out into the flat as a receiving option.
With Tampa Bay listed as 6-point favorites, game flow suggests the Buccaneers will control the tempo and lean on White to finish drives.
At +140 odds, White offers tremendous value as a dependable offensive weapon in a matchup that plays to his strengths. Lock it up.
