- On the season, the Saints are allowing only 31% of third-down passes to gain a first down.
- In 11 career games with Marshon Lattimore on the field, Mike Evans has reeled in 29-of-57 (50.9%) targets for 493 yards and four touchdowns.
Warren Sharp’s game previews are unlike anything you’ll find anywhere in the industry, and this year he will be sharing his write-ups along with betting picks on Sharp Football Analysis.
Warren’s betting recommendations have seen sustained success, exceeding 58% wins across over 2,700 betting recommendations in his 17 years.
He has won 62.3% of NFL totals releases from 2006 through 2022 from his model, including exceeding a 70% win rate each of the last three seasons:
- 37-15 record (71%) in 2022
- 23-5 (82%) in 2021
- 28-9 (76%) in 2020
Saints vs. Buccaneers Week 4 Betting Preview:
In divisional games, Shawn Hochuli is 21-11-4 Under (66%) in his career.
The Saints and Buccaneers are in a small group of teams averaging the second-highest offensive holding penalties per game average early in the 2023 season.
Hochuli ranked second overall in offensive holding, averaging over three per game.
The Saints defense is currently the co-leader in forcing offensive holding infractions on the opposing offense.
*For more information about referee trends and the betting implications, read our weekly officiating article.
As it relates to the series history between these two teams, five of the last six games have gone under the total.
And in the first half of the last three full games, the Buccaneers have scored a total of 3 points.
In the last seven regular season games vs. Dennis Allen’s Saints defense, the Bucs have recorded the following point totals in the first half of games: