As we are rolling along this offseason, we are laying the groundwork for early best ball drafts, new dynasty startups, and everything else under the fantasy sun as we gear up for the next NFL season.
So far, we have carried a dynasty mindset, posting tiers for quarterbacks, running backs, wide receivers, tight ends, rookie rankings, and full-on player rankings with an eye on the future in the 2022 Fantasy Hub.
With the NFL Draft now over, we will see more and more emphasis placed on the 2022 season in a vacuum, with best ball season officially ramping up. Once the NFL schedule drops in a couple of weeks, there will be another push.
With that, it is time to lay out rankings for each position for this upcoming season. These will move and be updated throughout the offseason as the landscape changes.
Since I already have some lengthy writeups for almost every player in those dynasty writeups, I will keep things tidier here. If you want more player expansion, check out those posts for the players you are looking for more context on.
Kicking this off, let’s lay some groundwork for quarterbacks in 2022…
2022 Fantasy Football Quarterback Rankings
2022 Fantasy Football Quarterbacks
1. Josh Allen: Looking to be the first quarterback to pace the position in fantasy points in three straight years since Brett Favre from 1995-1997. Allen paced the position in scoring five different weeks in 2021 (most in the league) with three other weeks as a top-four scorer.
2. Justin Herbert: QB8 and QB2 in points per game to open his career. First player in NFL history to start his career with 30 touchdown passes in his first two seasons. Plays for most aggressive head coach in the league.
3. Patrick Mahomes: Mahomes has averaged over 20 fantasy points per game in each of the past four seasons, finishing as the QB1, QB6, QB2, and QB5 in points per game over his stretch as a starter. Has seen his yards per pass attempt drop from the previous year in each of the past three seasons and he now will be without Tyreek Hill.
4. Kyler Murray: Has opened his career with seasons as the QB12, QB5, and the QB4 in points per game while flirting with giving us pockets in each season as potential to be the QB1 and MVP.
5. Lamar Jackson: Little went right in 2021. Still one of the highest floors at the position but has not tapped into that 2019 ceiling. Just four top-three scoring weeks over the past two seasons after nine in his MVP campaign.
6. Jalen Hurts: QB6 in points per game in 2021, 11 QB1 scoring weeks in 16 starts. Team attempting to give him as much as possible to improve as a passer in acquiring A.J. Brown.
7. Russell Wilson: Despite uneven season in 2021, Wilson was fourth in the league in passing points per attempt (.531). He has a touchdown rate of 6.0% or higher in five straight seasons. Denver is rich with promising young pass catchers.
8. Joe Burrow: Led the league in completion percentage (70.4%) and yards per attempt (9.0), the first passer to lead the league in both categories since Drew Brees in 2017. High variance, Burrow paced the position in scoring twice with eight QB1 scoring weeks, but also another seven as the QB16 or lower.
9. Tom Brady: Will turn 45 years old this August but is coming back for one more season at least in Tampa Bay, where he has finished as the QB11 and QB3 in points per game. Even at age 44, Brady hit for fantasy, throwing for 5,316 yards and 43 touchdowns while attempting 42.3 passes per game.
10. Trey Lance: Lamar Jackson in 2019. Josh Allen in 2020. Jalen Hurts in 2021. Discounted passers with high fantasy floors and ceiling potential were the best values those seasons. Trey Lance in 2022? When we did see Lance play as a rookie, he led all quarterbacks in fantasy points per dropback (0.75) on his limited sample.
11. Matthew Stafford: QB6 in overall scoring for fantasy, scoring 19.4 points per game (the third-most of his career) while he completed 67.2% of his passes for 8.1 Y/A, 4,886 yards, and 41 touchdowns in first season with Sean McVay.
12. Dak Prescott: QB7, QB14, QB13, QB7, QB1, and QB8 seasons per game at his position to open his career. Losing weapons, his career-high 6.2% touchdown rate should regress, but hoping that he runs more with another year removed from major ankle injury.
13. Aaron Rodgers: Quarterback runs deep again with strong options as evidence of the the back-to-back MVP sitting here looking like a massive value. Rodgers has finished as the QB4 and QB7 in fantasy points per game the past two seasons. He loses Davante Adams, but Rodgers also has strong splits with Adams off the field.
14. Deshaun Watson: Has never finished outside of the top-six scorers per game at his position and led the league in yards per pass attempt when we last saw him on the field in 2020. Still approaching things at this point as if we see an early-season suspension, but factoring in replacement value, bump him way up in 2QB formats over 1QB leagues. If not suspended, would jump to front-end QB1.
15. Justin Fields: Bears have inspired little confidence this offseason, but Fields was a QB1 scorer in four of his final five games in an equally terrible climate as a rookie.
16. Kirk Cousins: Has been a steady fantasy producer, closing just one of the past seven seasons outside of the top-16 scorers at his position per game while finishing as the QB12 in points per game in each of the past two seasons. With Kevin O’Connell incoming, anticipate higher passing volume and more 3WR sets over previously hyper-conservative environments.
17. Tua Tagovailoa: Through 21 starts, Tagovailoa has four QB1 scoring weeks with two inside of the top-10, but a major overhaul in talent on the offense and system has him in position to make a Year 3 leap.
18. Derek Carr: Has set a new career-high in passing yardage in each of the past four seasons. Adding Davante Adams, these are the best weapons of his career. Lack of rushing while finishing higher than QB19 in points per game just once through eight seasons keep him better in 2QB formats and high-floor QB2.
19. Zach Wilson: Bottom of the league in nearly every passing metric as a rookie, the Jets have invested a lot in the offense around him to give him every chance for Year 2 improvement.
20. Trevor Lawrence: Disastrous rookie season that looks even worse factoring in expectations. Lawrence ended the year with just 12 touchdown passes and 17 interceptions. The only games in which he threw multiple touchdowns were the season opener and final game of the year. How much of a pass and do-over do we give based on Urban Meyer’s incompetence?
21. Ryan Tannehill: QB16 a year ago with just five QB1 scoring weeks. 5.5 Y/A without A.J. Brown and Julio Jones on the field. While the replacements this offseason are better than the depth he had last year, still a lot to be answered in ceiling.
22. Daniel Jones: After throwing 24 touchdowns as a rookie, Jones has thrown 21 touchdown passes the past two seasons. Still has underbelly of rushing ability, better-than-assumed pass catcher, and Brian Daboll coming in this season to live on a prayer.
23. Carson Wentz: Third team in three years. QB17 in points per game in 2021. Threw for just 6.3 yards per attempt over the final 11 games with two QB1 scoring weeks over his final eight games.
24. Jameis Winston: The top quarterback in fantasy points per attempt (.601) while second in the NFL in EPA per play on his abbreviated sample. Winston also was living off a completely unsustainable 8.7% touchdown rate, but Michael Thomas and Chris Olave provide a much-improved outfit after he targeted Alvin Kamara a team-high 34 times under center.
25. Mac Jones: The best of the 2021 rookie quarterbacks, but with just 12.9 rushing points all season, Jones is forced to produce top-shelf passing stats to compete with the field on a fantasy level.
26. Matt Ryan: Played better than Wentz in 2021 in a far worse environment, but stuck as a QB2 and streamer for fantasy purposes.
27. Davis Mills: 7.3 Y/A with 11 touchdowns to three interceptions over his final six starts has bought him another year to audition for the future. Mills threw more touchdown passes (16) than every rookie after Mac Jones in 2021.
28. Kenny Pickett: Should push to start as early as Week 1 and will start sooner than later with first-round investment and only Mitchell Trubisky in his way. Pickett brings the missing mobility to Matt Canada’s offense and the offense has plenty of tangible surrounding talent.
29. Jared Goff: Since being the QB10 in points per game in 2018, Goff has been the QB22, QB24, and QB24 in points per game the past three seasons.
30. Marcus Mariota: Can find streaming and QB2 floor while averaging 3.3 rushing points per start in his career, but Atlanta unlikely to be good enough overall to keep them from taking a look at Desmond Ridder.
31. Sam Darnold: Started off last season with three 300-yard passing games the opening month and 8.1 yards per attempt, but then flatlined for 5.1 Y/A the rest of the way losing playing time to Cam Newton and P.J. Walker. Like Mariota, can Carolina be good enough overall for Darnold to start the full season?
32. Drew Lock: Things keep falling his way to potentially start in 2021 despite ranking 33rd in EPA per dropback (-0.06), 36th in completion percentage (59.3%), 30th in yards per pass attempt (6.68 Y/A), 34th in touchdown rate (3.5%), and 31st in interception rate (2.8%) since entering the league.
33. Desmond Ridder: Experienced and athletic, Ridder should make starts for Atlanta before the 2023 offseason.
34. Matt Corral: Similar situation to Ridder, we should bet on Corral getting a look sometime this season.
35. Mitchell Trubisky: Not far off from Marcus Mariota, but also not as strong of an initial runway to win and keep the job paired with first-round investment in Kenny Pickett.
36. Baker Mayfield: Currently his best odds of starting in 2022 are down to a trade to Seattle or an early-season suspension to Deshaun Watson.
37. Jimmy Garoppolo: Injuries have prevented any market for him changing teams this offseason, keeping the door open for a non-zero chance he remains in San Francisco.
38. Jacoby Brissett: Assuming Baker Mayfield does inevitably find his way off the roster, Brissett would be the option to start games if Watson is suspended.
39. Geno Smith: Still technically in an open competition with Drew Lock. Smith was QB24, QB19, and QB7 in his three starts in 2021.