49ers vs Ravens Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 13

• The Ravens are the first team in NFL history to win three straight games by 34 or more points. 
• Baltimore leads the league in scoring rate per drive (59.0%) and touchdown rate per drive (40.0%).
• Opponents have scored on 21.1% of their drives against the 49ers — the second-lowest rate in the league — with a touchdown on 12.5% of those drives (also second-lowest).
• The Ravens have led for 60.7% of their offensive snaps this season (second) while the 49ers have led for 55.8% (third).
• The 49ers are the only team in the league that has led while on offense in every game this season. 
• The Ravens lead the league in yards gained on runs of 10 or more yards (1,209) while the 49ers rank second (818).
• The 49ers have 24 more offensive plays of 20 or more yards than allowed this season, the highest differential in the league.
• San Francisco is averaging 2.5 more passing yards per attempt (8.1) than their opponent (5.6), the largest differential in the league.
• The 49ers have allowed 100 net passing yards or fewer in five games this season, the most in a season by a team since 2000.
• 41.5% of Lamar Jackson’s pass attempts have resulted in a first down while 40.9% of Jimmy Garoppolo’s pass attempts have resulted in a first down. Those are the two highest rates for full season starters in the league.
• 52.7% of Garoppolo’s third down pass attempts have resulted in a first down, the highest rate in the league. League average is 37.6%.

Trust (spike production for that player)

• Lamar Jackson: He’s now been a top-three fantasy scorer in eight of his 11 games and has just one week with fewer than 21.3 fantasy points. The 49ers rank first or second in just about any defensive category you can find while leading the league in pressure rate (32.3%), but the Ravens just hosted the other defense that has rivaled San Francisco this season in the Patriots and Jackson scored 28.6 fantasy points. San Francisco has also given up rushing production to opposing passers so far, allowing Kyler Murray to run for 34 and 67 yards and Russell Wilson to add 53 yards on the ground. 

On the Cusp (proxy of a player’s average)

• Mark Ingram: After just two RB1 scoring weeks through nine games, Ingram has been the RB2 (23.5 points) and RB5 (24.8) the past two weeks. With just 13 and 15 carries those weeks, his scoring has been elevated by three receiving touchdowns on four receptions. Those receiving scores can’t be counted on as a weekly occurrence, but his scoring upside in general remains intact attached to the highest-scoring offense in the league. The 49ers have allowed an RB1 in four of their past five games. 
• Mark Andrews: After receiving seven or more targets in each of his first seven games, Andrews has four or fewer targets in three of his past four games. His scoring upside at a depleted fantasy position always has him in play despite that reduced usage, however, even with this added tough matchup. The 49ers are first in yards per target allowed to opposing tight ends (4.5) with just two touchdowns allowed to the position, although the best option they’ve faced on the season has been Greg Olsen.  
• George Kittle: Kittle played 79.2% of the snaps in his return to action last week, catching all six of his targets for 129 yards and a score. The Ravens are fifth in points allowed to opposing tight ends and have also allowed just two touchdowns to the position, but like the 49ers, have not really been pressed by many tangible fantasy scorers. The only top tight end they faced this season was Travis Kelce, who managed a 7-89-0 line. 
• 49ers RBs: Tevin Coleman has rushed for 40 or fewer yards in each of his past four games, carrying 44 times for 116 yards over that span. The 49ers could also be getting Matt Breida back this week after he missed the past two games with an ankle injury. In the last full game they both played in Week 9, Breida out-touched Coleman 17-13. Coleman is the RB2 option with the touchdown-scoring appeal, but both cannibalize each other’s ceiling in regard to overall touches.

Bust (down-week production for that player’s standards)

• Jimmy Garoppolo: Garoppolo has been an option we’ve had come through as a streamer in the spots we’ve needed him to. He has four top-12 scoring weeks on the season, coming against the Cardinals (twice), Bengals, and Packers. Those were identifiable spots headlining in, but this Sunday is not as appealing. In their five games since acquiring Marcus Peters and then getting Jimmy Smith back, the Ravens have allowed just 5.8 yards per pass attempt and three touchdown passes while holding Russell Wilson (QB18), Tom Brady (QB20), and Deshaun Watson (QB28) over that stretch.

If You Must (intriguing bench option or deeper league play) 

• Marquise Brown: Brown is just someone you have to ride through the lows to get the highs when they come due to offensive attachment. He has averaged 21.6% of the team targets per game. That slice is still part of a smaller passing pie, which has led Brown to catch four or fewer passes in seven of his nine games with fewer than 50 yards receiving in six of those games, but he also has two games with multiple touchdowns and has found the end zone in three of his past five. The 49ers haven’t allowed a 100-yard receiver since Week 2, but have allowed five touchdowns to opposing wideouts over their past four games.
• 49ers WRs: Emmanuel Sanders has been active the past two weeks, but has played just 46.8% and 66.7% of the team snaps, garnering just six targets total, catching four for 48 yards in those games. Deebo Samuel has run much hotter, posting three straight top-25 scoring weeks, with two 100-yard games and a touchdown over that stretch, although he received just two targets (10%) a week ago. For as strong as their passing game turnaround has been, the Ravens have still allowed a top-30 scoring wideout in each of their past five games with five top-20 options.