Week 11 DFS Picks: Tournament Plays

Every week, I will go through the players I am targeting to play in DFS for all games, tournaments, and game stacks.

The idea is that this will paint a clearer picture of framing lineups.

It is not that tournament players cannot be used in cash games.

If a player here works out for your team structure in cash games surrounding your primary core, use them.

These are just the players that come with some element of inherent risk, but they also are the primary players I still want to be ahead of the field on, compared to the percentage of rosters they are projected to make this weekend.

I will analyze the player selections and game writeups, but please refer to the Week 11 Worksheet for a detailed breakdown of the players and games.

Quarterback

J.J. McCarthy ($6,800/$5,200)

Despite nondescript passing performances since returning, McCarthy has still been viable in fantasy in both weeks, as he can add rushing points.

He was the QB14 (18.9 points) in Week 9 in Detroit and the QB16 (14.7 points) on Sunday against Baltimore.

McCarthy has finished QB16 or higher in three of his four starts this season.

In bulk, McCarthy has faced three good pass defenses, taking liberty with the current Ravens.

Here, he gets a pass defense we have regularly targeted.

Chicago is 30th in passing points allowed per attempt (0.545) and is 26th in passing points allowed per game (16.8).

They are 31st in touchdown rate allowed (7.2%).

The Bears have also allowed the most rushing yards to quarterbacks (28.4 per game).

Sam Darnold ($7,200/$5,700)

In the big NFC West Showdown, I prefer chasing Darnold getting pushed into a heavy passing script.

Darnold leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt (9.9) and yards per completion (14.0).

Using play action, Darnold is averaging a league-high 13.9 yards per attempt and 20.2 yards per completion.

The NFL average for qualifiers on play-action passes is 8.0 Y/A and 11.8 yards per completion.

The Rams have allowed 8.2 Y/A on play-action passes (20th) but have only allowed a 1.6% touchdown rate (3rd) on those attempts.

The Rams have faced three offenses we would label as fantasy competent.

Mac Jones has two QB1 scoring weeks against them, throwing for 342 and 319 yards (22.2 and 23.1 fantasy points).

Jalen Hurts threw 3 passing touchdowns against them as part of a QB1 scoring week (29 points).

Their best game was against Daniel Jones, limiting him to a QB27 week (10.4 points).

Outside of that, they have faced C.J. Stroud, Cam Ward, Trevor Lawrence, Cooper Rush, and Tyler Shough.

Jacoby Brissett ($7,000/$4,900)

Brissett has four straight QB1 scoring weeks since taking over as the starter.

With the shakeup among his wide receivers, there is some added fragility, but this is another great matchup, and he still has Trey McBride.

Brissett was under siege on Sunday and has been getting heavy heat since taking over as the starter.

No quarterback has been pressured at a higher rate since he took over in Week 6.

He has taken 18 sacks in those games, with 5 or more sacks in each of the past three games.

He should get a reprieve on that front this week.

Over their past seven games, the 49ers are last in the NFL in pressure rate (27.7%) and 31st in sack rate (2.8%).

The 49ers have not had more than 2 sacks in a game since Week 2.

The San Francisco defense has not been able to weather all of their injuries.

Over their past six games, they have allowed a 67.6% completion rate (26th), 7.8 Y/A (24th), and a 6.5% touchdown rate (25th).

They have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in five of those games and five QB1 scoring weeks over that span, with the only exception being Michael Penix.

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