The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Divisional Round matchup between the 49ers and Packers.
Find a breakdown of every Divisional Round NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | San Francisco | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | Spread | -10.0 | ||
| 20.25 | Implied Total | 30.25 | ||
| 23.9 | 8 | Points/Gm | 28.9 | 2 |
| 21.2 | 12 | Points All./Gm | 17.5 | 3 |
| 61.4 | 25 | Plays/Gm | 60.2 | 27 |
| 63.9 | 19 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 61.1 | 7 |
| 5.7 | 7 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.6 | 1 |
| 5.4 | 20 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 7 |
| 42.86% | 15 | Rush% | 48.73% | 2 |
| 57.14% | 18 | Pass% | 51.27% | 31 |
| 45.04% | 26 | Opp. Rush % | 35.55% | 1 |
| 54.96% | 7 | Opp. Pass % | 64.45% | 32 |
Against the Spread
- 49ers: 9-8
- Packers: 10-8
- 49ers ATS at Home: 3-5
- Packers ATS Away: 5-5
- 49ers ATS as Favorite: 9-8
- Packers ATS as Underdog: 7-4
Game Overview
This is the only game in the Divisional Round that is not a rematch from the regular season.
San Francisco is the No. 1 seed in the NFC for the second time under Kyle Shanahan.
They went to the Super Bowl the last time they were the No. 1 seed.
The 49ers were at the front of the NFC nearly all season.
They were ahead on the scoreboard for 60.9% of their offense snaps and 72.4% of their second-half snaps on offense. Both of those rates only trailed the Ravens on the season.
The 49ers led by double-digits on a league-high 31.3% of their offensive snaps, the highest rate in the league.
San Francisco not only led the league in yards per play (6.6), but with all of Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Brandon Aiyuk, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle on the field at the same time, they averaged 7.3 yards per play on offense.
What makes the 49ers so good is they win on early downs on both sides of the ball.
San Francisco averages 1.9 more yards per play than their opponents on first downs, the largest margin in the league.
Just 36.4% of the San Francisco set of downs reach third down, the lowest rate in the league. The league average is 47.9%.
This is an almost identical spot to where the Packers were a week ago.
They were the first No. 7 seed to win in the NFL playoffs since the league added a team in the postseason, going into Dallas and dismantling the Cowboys.
The 48-32 final score does not even do the game justice. Green Bay went up 27-0 in the first half and 48-16 with 10 minutes to go in the game when they finally let off the gas.
That was the third time over the past four weeks that the Packers have scored 30 or more points.
They had scored 30 points in just one (and it was the season opener) of their opening 14 games of the season.
Starting fast was a huge part of the turnaround for the Packers this season.
Over their opening nine games, Green Bay scored just 1.02 points per drive in the first half of games, which was 31st in the league.
Over their past nine games, Green Bay has scored 2.78 points per drive in the opening half of games (third in the NFL).
Green Bay led at the half in seven of those games.
That is big because the Packers are 1-6 this season when trailing at the half compared to 8-2 when leading at the half.
We mentioned that the 49ers have rarely trailed this season, but they are 0-3 this season when trailing at the half.
The 49ers led at the half in 13 of their games this season. Only the Ravens and Lions have led at the half in more games this season.
San Francisco outscored opponents by 108 points in the first half this season, second in the league behind the Ravens.
The start of this one will tell us a lot of the story again.
It is imperative that Green Bay gets off to a good start and does not allow San Francisco to play from out in front.
Side story for narrative purposes.
Shanahan and Matt LaFleur have a history together, working with each other in Houston, Washington, and Atlanta.
This will be the sixth time that they have faced each other as head coaches, with Shanahan winning three of those games and both playoff matchups.
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More Divisional Round fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:
- Texans @ Ravens
- Packers @ 49ers
- Buccaneers @ Lions
- Chiefs @ Bills — FREE
