The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Divisional Round matchup between the Ravens and Texans.

Find a breakdown of every Divisional Round NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

9.5 Spread-9.5
18.0 Implied Total27.5
20.410Points All./Gm16.51
63.818Opp. Plays/Gm65.228
5.512Off. Yards/Play5.94
5.214Def. Yards/Play4.62
42.47%15Opp. Rush %37.42%3
57.53%18Opp. Pass %62.58%30

Against the Spread

  • Ravens: 11-6
  • Texans: 10-8
  • Ravens ATS at Home: 5-4
  • Texans ATS Away: 5-3
  • Ravens ATS as Favorite: 9-5
  • Texans ATS as Underdog: 7-3

Game Overview

The Ravens went 13-4 this season, their most wins in a season since Lamar Jackson first took over as the starting quarterback for a full season.

It all starts with Jackson, who played his first full season since 2020.

Since Baltimore drafted Jackson in 2018, they have a 59-22 record in his starts compared to an 8-13 mark in starts by other quarterbacks.

Over the past three seasons, the Ravens are 28-12 with Jackson starting compared to 3-7 without him.

Baltimore led the NFL in point differential (+203) this season and outscored opponents by a league-high 142 points in the first half this year.

As a byproduct, the Ravens led for 60.9% of their offensive snaps and 78.9% of their offensive snaps in the second half. Both marks led the league.

The Ravens played just 85 snaps on offense trailing in the second half all season, and 22 of those were in Week 18 when they rested a majority of their core players.

Baltimore also led the NFL with 10 wins against teams with a winning record this season and was tied for the most wins against teams that made the 2023 playoffs with six.

That includes beating the Texans 25-9 all of the way back in the season opener.

Houston and C.J. Stroud have come a long way since that opening game of the year, winning their first playoff game since 2019 last week against the Browns in convincing fashion.

Houston has a 7-2 record over the past nine games that Stroud has played.

The Texans have won six games outright as an underdog this season, tied for the most in the NFL.

They have beaten three playoff teams this season, but they were all at home over the Browns, Buccaneers, and Steelers.

Houston was also a much different team on the road this season than at home.

They went 4-4 on the road, averaging 19.5 points per game, which was 18th in the league.

At home, Houston scored 26.6 points per game (eighth).

The Texans were 20th in the league in points per drive on the road (1.62) and 22nd in touchdown rate per drive (15.2%).

The Baltimore defense was excellent overall this season, and they allowed 1.41 points per drive at home (sixth) with a touchdown on just 12.0% of opponent possessions in Baltimore (second in the league).

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More Divisional Round fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: