|LA Rams||Rank||@||San Francisco||Rank|
|36.0%||6||Opp. Rush %||45.3%||23|
|64.0%||27||Opp. Pass %||54.7%||10|
- The Rams have a 24-to-3 run-to-pass rate inside of the opponent’s 10-yard line (88.9%), the highest rate in the league.
- The Rams are averaging 2.84 more yards per pass attempt than their opponents, the best differential in the league.
- The Rams are averaging 99.4 more total yards than their opponents per game, the best differential in the league.
- Robert Woods (66.6%) and Cooper Kupp (61.7%) rank first and third among all wide receivers in percentage of yardage gained after the catch.
- Rams wide receivers have had a catchable target rate of 82.8%, which is second in the league behind Buffalo WRs (83.3%).
- 49ers wide receivers have had a catchable target rate of 58.6%, the lowest in the league.
- The 49ers wide receivers are the only receiving corps averaging fewer than 100 combined receiving yards per game (96.0).
- Jared Goff leads the NFL in yards per pass attempt from a clean pocket (10.6 Y/A) while ranking 32nd under pressure (3.7 Y/A).
Jared Goff: After a hiccup in Week 4, Goff bounced back with a season-high 10.3 yards per pass attempt, throwing for 309 yards and two scores while rushing for another. Goff has now been a QB1 in three of his past four games. Oddly enough, despite his strong start to the season, Goff has a league-low three pass attempts into the end zone to start the year and as mentioned above, you can see how run-centric the Rams are near the goal line.
After allowing 230 yards passing or fewer in every game prior to last week and just 5.9 yards per pass attempt, the 49ers offered no resistance to a hot Ryan Fitzpatrick, allowing 350 passing yards, three touchdowns and 12.5 yards per pass attempt. The last time these teams met, Goff threw for 323 yards and a pair of touchdowns. The 49ers still are dealing with a number of injuries defensively and still are expecting to be without Richard Sherman on Sunday. While their most recent collapse may be an outlier, Goff is tied for first in the league in yards per pass attempt (9.0 Y/A) and fourth in yards per completion (12.6), being the best quarterback the 49ers have faced on the season. Continue to use Goff as a fringe-QB1 option.
Jimmy Garoppolo: Garoppolo’s return to the lineup did not go as planned. Completing just 7-of-17 passes for 4.5 yards per attempt and two interceptions, Garoppolo only lasted the first half last week before he was benched for the rest of the game. While Kyle Shanahan said Garoppolo’s ankle injury was impacting his performance, he also acknowledged that he would have left him in if the game was closer. In a must-win division game at 2-3, Garoppolo should get another shot this week, but make sure to follow practice reports early in the week.
Even if he is active, we cannot turn to Garoppolo here as a viable fantasy option. The Rams have had a relatively soft open to the season, but are second in the league in passing points allowed per game (11.4) and have the top passing defense in expected points added, leaving Garoppolo as a leap of faith QB2.
Raheem Mostert: Returning from a two-game absence, Mostert played 31 snaps (48.4%), handling 14 touches for 119 yards. 52.9% of Mostert’s rushing attempts (18-of-34) have gained five or more yards, the highest rate of any back with 20 or more carries on the season. What was surprising in Mostert’s return is that Jerick McKinnon played just 16 snaps (25%) and handled just three touches for five yards while Jeff Wilson played more snaps (15) than he did in Week 4 (six). Perhaps the blowout impacted McKinnon’s role, but that does not give him a reliable floor for FLEX potential. Mostert has now been a top-20 back in every game he has played while the Rams are 24th in yards per carry (4.54 YPC) allowed to backfields.
Darrell Henderson: With the Rams backfield fully intact for the first time for a full game since Week 1, Henderson led the backfield in snaps (29) and touches (18) while Malcolm Brown played 26 snaps (nine touches) and Cam Akers played 13 snaps (nine touches). Henderson handled 10-of-16 backfield touches in the first half while also handling 7-of-8 backfield touches in the red zone and all three inside of the 10-yard line.
It is doubtful this backfield rotation is concrete, but Henderson has been the most reliable option through five weeks. The 49ers are fourth in the league in rushing points allowed per game to backfields (8.6), but outside of Miles Sanders, have faced the Jets, Giants, Dolphins, and Cardinals. Henderson is a fringe RB2/FLEX while Malcom Brown is a passing-script sensitive option and Akers is just an ancillary component still working himself into an actual role.
Robert Woods: Through five weeks, Woods have already matched his season touchdown total of three from a year ago. Paired with Goff’s lack of end zone targets, that is somewhat surprising as Woods does not even have an end zone target yet on the season. That scoring output has helped Woods out to start as he currently is averaging 4.6 receptions for 60.0 yards per game, low totals per game since joining the Rams. Woods has oscillated top-20 and WR4 scoring weeks to open the season and has yet to clear eight targets in a game, but is still a floor-based WR2 option against a 49ers secondary that missing multiple pieces.
Cooper Kupp: Kupp has out-targeted Woods 25-18 the past three weeks and leads the team air yards (169) over that span. On the season, however, both Kupp (6.1 depth of target) and Woods (5.9 aDOT) are largely used near the line of scrimmage. Through five weeks, each has just one target on a pass over 20 yards downfield. Kupp has at least five receptions in each of the past four games, joining Woods as a floor-based WR2.
49ers WRs: As noted in the game notes, no wide receiving unit has been less productive than the 49ers’ and no other WR corps has had less to work with in terms of actual opportunity. On a positive note, Deebo Samuel had his snap rate go from 34% in Week 4 up to 89% last week as he received eight targets (2-19-0). Brandon Aiyuk played 97% of the team snaps, receiving six targets (3-44-0), giving him 44 or fewer yards in every game but one with a high of 70. Right now, the 49ers pass catchers are options that you hope do damage rushing the football just to provide something to latch onto.
The Rams have allowed the fewest yardage per game to opposing wideouts (133.0) and are second in PPR points allowed per target (1.49) to receivers with games against the Cowboys and Bills on their resume outside of the Giants, Football Team, and Eagles. Considering the quarterback play and individual performances, both Samuel and Aiyuk take a significant step of faith as hopeful FLEX options.
George Kittle: Kittle managed to snare 4-of-8 targets for 44 yards last week for a season-low 5.5 yards per target as he could also not shake free of the stink of the San Francisco passing game in Week 5. He still matched a team-high in targets. The Rams have not allowed more than 42 yards to an individual tight end through five weeks with Zach Ertz (5-42-0), Dallas Goedert (4-30-0), and Evan Engram (6-35-0) as the highest quality of opponents they have faced. We know we are riding Kittle as a TE1 through hell or high water as a TE1 option.
Rams TEs: After running a pass route on 64.7% of the team dropbacks in Week 1, Tyler Higbee has been at 50%, 40%, 55.9%, and 46.9% since. Over the past three weeks, Higbee has received just eight targets (7-72-0) while Gerald Everett has seven (7-134-0) despite Higbee running 48 pass routes to 34 for Everett over that span. Even last week when Everett had four catches for 90 yards, he ran just seven total pass routes. It was also his first game with more than two receptions. As of right now, no Rams TE can be a trusted source of fantasy production, with Higbee as a touchdown chasing TE2.
More Week 6 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: