The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 7 Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals Sunday afternoon game.
| Seattle | Rank | @ | Arizona | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | Spread | 3.5 | ||
| 29.25 | Implied Total | 25.75 | ||
| 33.8 | 1 | Points/Gm | 27.7 | 11 |
| 27 | 19 | Points All./Gm | 18.7 | 2 |
| 60.4 | 28 | Plays/Gm | 66.2 | 10 |
| 75.6 | 32 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.2 | 25 |
| 39.1% | 22 | Rush% | 46.1% | 9 |
| 60.9% | 11 | Pass% | 53.9% | 24 |
| 34.4% | 2 | Opp. Rush % | 40.9% | 14 |
| 65.6% | 31 | Opp. Pass % | 59.1% | 19 |
- Seattle (88.9%) and Arizona (80%) are first and second in the league in red zone touchdown conversion rate.
- Seattle has scored 11.5 touchdowns to every field goal, the highest ratio in the league. The next closest team is at 3.6 offensive touchdowns per field goal.
- The Seahawks have scored a league-leading nine more offensive touchdowns than their opponents.
- 35.5% of the plays against Seattle have resulted in a first down, the highest rate in the league.
- Arizona is allowing a league-low 21.9% completion rate (7-of-32) to opposing passers on throws over 15 yards downfield.
- No quarterback has more touchdown passes on attempts of that depth than Russel Wilson (eight).
- Seattle is 30th in the league in defending those downfield pass attempts, allowing passers to complete 58.5% (24-of-41).
- Kyler Murray has completed 30.6% (11-of-36) of those pass attempts, 29th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Bust = down-week production for that player’s standards
Quarterback
Russell Wilson: Wilson has produced at least 20 fantasy points in every game this season and although he has already had his bye, still leads the league in touchdown receptions (19). Arizona is mid-pack at 14th in passing points allowed per game (14.9) but has faced Jimmy Garoppolo, Dwayne Haskins, Matthew Stafford, Teddy Bridgewater, Joe Flacco, and Andy Dalton to open the season. Teddy, Stafford, and Garoppolo all had at least 17 passing points in those games as well. This will be their first true passing test of the season while Wilson is still a top-five option.
Kyler Murray (TRUST): Murray has been a top-10 scorer in every game this season. Even last week when he completed just 9-of-24 passes he got there. Murray is 17th at the position in passing points per game (14.6), but is second in rushing points per game (12.2) and first in rushing points on the season. Murray gets another great opportunity to improve his passing output as Seattle is 27th in passing points allowed per game (19.1), 27th in yards per attempt (7.9 Y/A), and 22nd in completion rate (66.9%). Keep using Murray as a top-five QB.
Running Back
Chris Carson: Carson has double-digit points in every game this season with three consecutive top-10 scoring games. Carson ranks 22nd at the position in touches per game (16.4) and 19th in yardage per game (85.8), but his six touchdowns are tied for fourth in the league while he has already missed a week.
There are far worse things than a touchdown-influence back playing on the highest-scoring team per game in the league. Arizona is allowing 12.5 rushing points per game to backfields (13th) and 13.1 per game receiving (27th). Continue to use Carson as a fringe-RB1.
Kenyan Drake: Drake is coming off a season-high 164 yards with two touchdowns last week against the Cowboys, tacking on a 69-yard touchdown run late in the game. Drake has at least 18 carries in five of the six games this season, but is still not being used in the receiving game, catching six passes for 22 yards all season.
Seattle has faced 20 rushing attempts per game versus backs (10th) since they have scored so many points, but they have been solid against the run, allowing 3.7 YPC to backs (ninth). They just allowed 196 yards on 39 carries to the Minnesota backfield prior to the bye after allowing 177 yards on 61 carries through four games. Drake is a rushing-volume dependent RB2.
Wide Receiver
D.K. Metcalf: Metcalf has at least 92 receiving yards in every game this season. Metcalf has scored in four of the opening five games this season and going back to last season has found the end zone in seven of his past 10 games played. Arizona has been excellent against the deep ball to open the season and the best fantasy games allowed by the Cardinals have come to high-volume options that have stacked intermediate receptions in Terry McLaurin (7-125-1), Jamison Crowder (8-116-1), Robby Anderson (8-99-0), Amari Cooper (7-79-1), and CeeDee Lamb (7-64-0). The closest wideout they have faced to Metcalf however has been Kenny Golladay, who had 6-57-1. Metcalf is still someone we are treating as a WR1.
DeAndre Hopkins (TRUST): With 2-73-0 last week, it was the first time Hopkins had fewer than six catches in a gamer this season. Seattle has been bludgeoned by opposing WR1 options, ranking 31st in points per game allowed to WR1 options (23.7 points). Through five games, they have faced Julio Jones (9-157-0), Julian Edelman (8-179-0), Amari Cooper (9-86-0), DeVante Parker (10-110-0), and Adam Thielen (9-80-2).
Tyler Lockett: After eight or more targets in each of his first three games (28.6% of the team targets), Lockett has just nine targets the past two games (13.6%), catching six passes for 83 yards. Going through target lulls with Lockett is nothing new. Lockett has scored just one touchdown in 10 career games against Arizona with a game-high of 66 yards, which will not make things easier on our thoughts about a potential rebound, but his efficiency remains as good as ever, catching 30-of-38 targets (78.9%), so we have to continue to push through the soft points of volume with him as a WR2/WR3 option, especially with Wilson playing at this level.
Christian Kirk: After nine total points through his first two games played, Kirk has come back with 10.9, 12.8, and 22.6 points the past three games. Kirk has still received 16% of the team targets or fewer in four of his five games played with more than three receptions in just once game, but he has shown signs of life and gets another great matchup to build off of. Seattle has allowed double-digit points to 12 different wideouts in five games and 11 top-30 scoring wideouts. With Kirk a viable WR3 option, even Larry Fitzgerald and Andy Isabella are intriguing blind faith punts if you have to grasp at straws.
Tight End
Greg Olsen: Olsen has had more than 35 yards just once on the season and has not scored since Week 1, but has five receptions in two of his past three games. Arizona is sixth in yards per target allowed to opposing tight ends. Olsen is a TE2 option for cheap attachment to Wilson.
More Week 7 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet:
NYG at PHI | CAR at NO | BUF at NYJ | PIT at TEN | DAL at WFT | GB at HOU | DET at ATL | CLE at CIN | SEA at ARI | SF at NE | KC at DEN | JAX at LAC | TB at LVR | CHI at LAR
