The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 4 matchup between the Texans and Titans.
Find a breakdown of every Week 4 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Tennessee | Rank | @ | Houston | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.0 | Spread | -7.0 | ||
| 16.25 | Implied Total | 23.25 | ||
| 17.0 | 28 | Points/Gm | 12.7 | 32 |
| 31.3 | 30 | Points All./Gm | 17.0 | 5 |
| 61.3 | 16 | Plays/Gm | 54.0 | 28 |
| 61.0 | 17 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 65.0 | 25 |
| 3.6 | 32 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.0 | 23 |
| 6.1 | 30 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.9 | 10 |
| 38.04% | 26 | Rush% | 40.12% | 20 |
| 61.96% | 7 | Pass% | 59.88% | 13 |
| 45.36% | 21 | Opp. Rush % | 40.51% | 9 |
| 54.64% | 12 | Opp. Pass % | 59.49% | 24 |
- Neither one of these teams has run an offensive play with the lead in the second half this season. The only teams other than the Saints.
- Houston ranks 29th in offensive EPA (-27.2).
- Tennessee is last in offensive EPA (-41.8).
- The Titans have scored a touchdown on a league-low 8.8% of their possessions.
- The Texans have scored a touchdown on 9.4% of their drives, 30th in the league.
- Houston has allowed opponents to score on a league-low 25% of their drives.
- The Titans are one of two remaining teams (the Browns being the other) without a passing play of 30 yards or more.
- The Texans have converted a league-low 24.2% (8 of 33) of their third downs to open the year. The league average is 39.3%.
- Houston has converted 33.3% (3 of 9) of their third downs needing 3 or fewer yards, the worst rate in the league. The league average is 62.4%.
- The Titans have been in third and long (needing 7 or more yards) on a league-worst 36.5% of their sets of downs.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
C.J. Stroud: Stroud has opened the season on a lackluster note, closing out the opening three weeks as QB26, QB22, and QB27 in weekly scoring.
He has completed 64% of his passes (20th) for 6.7 yards per pass attempt (15th) with 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions.
The silver lining so far is that he is running more, rushing for over 20 yards per game every week.
He, of course, is running more due to the state of the offensive line.
We have brought this up in each of the past two weeks, but Nick Caley is not doing much to help mask the issues this offense has.
Stroud is 25th in motion rate per dropback (38.7%) after rates of 55.6% and 59.5% to open his career.
He has used play action on 14.6% of his dropbacks (30th) after rates of 23.6% and 26.5% over his first two seasons.
He has been in shotgun for 67.9% of his dropbacks after 59.1% and 59.2% the past two seasons.
Stroud is stuck as a QB2 until things improve.
You can make the case here since Houston is a significant home favorite.
The Titans are 25th in pressure rate (30.8%) and 25th in blitz rate (22.1%).
When they have not pressured the opposing passer, Tennessee has allowed a 77.5% completion rate (28th), 7.8 yards per attempt (23rd), and a 5.6% touchdown rate (20th).
Cam Ward: Ward has kicked off his career with scoring weeks as QB32, QB27, and QB22.
He ranks last among qualifying quarterbacks in completion rate (54.5%) and is 30th in yards per pass attempt (5.1).
He has been sacked on 13.2% of his dropbacks (30th) and pressured on 43.3% (30th).
Despite the poor start for Houston overall, the defense is still playing as advertised.
They have a 41.7% pressure rate (9th) with a 7.8% sack rate (12th).
They have allowed a 61.7% completion rate (9th), 6.4 yards per pass attempt (12th), and a 2.8% touchdown rate (6th).
Ward is a back-end option in 2QB formats.
Running Back
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More Week 4 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Matchup | Time |
|---|---|
| Seahawks @ Cardinals | Thursday Night Football |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Commanders @ Falcons | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Saints @ Bills | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Lions | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Panthers @ Patriots | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Chargers @ Giants | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Eagles @ Bucs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Titans @ Texans | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Colts @ Rams | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Jaguars @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Ravens @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Bears @ Raiders | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Cowboys | Sunday Night Football |
| Jets @ Dolphins | Monday Night Football |
| Bengals @ Broncos | Monday Night Football |
