Over the course of the season, we will be keeping track of line movements in the futures markets all season long and note any big movements on a weekly basis.
*All lines are based off of BetMGM on 09/08/21 and 09/15/21
NFL MVP
Kyler Murray +2500 to +900
Tom Brady +1400 to +1000
Matthew Stafford +2000 to +1000
Russell Wilson +2000 to +1600
Josh Allen +1400 to +1600
Aaron Rodgers +1100 to +1800
Lamar Jackson +1800 to +2500
Jameis Winston +5000 to +2500
Jalen Hurts +8000 to +3500
Offensive Rookie of the Year:
Mac Jones +500 to +350
Trevor Lawrence +350 to +450
Justin Fields +700 to +750
Trey Lance +750 to +800
Zach Wilson +900 to +800
Najee Harris +1000 to +900
Ja’Marr Chase +1800 to +1400
Kyle Pitts +1100 to +1600
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Micah Parsons +600 to +650
Patrick Surtain II +1200 to +700
Jamin Davis +1000 to +800
Kwity Paye +900 to +1000
Zaven Collins +1400 to +1100
Jaycee Horn +1800 to +1400
Jayson Oweh +2200 to +1800
Joe Tryon +3000 to +2500
Super Bowl Winner
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: +700 to +600
Buffalo Bills +1100 to +1300
Seattle Seahawks +2500 to +1800
New Orleans Saints +4000 to +2500
Arizona Cardinals +3500 to +3000
Pittsburgh Steelers +5000 to +3000
Las Vegas Raiders +6600 to +5000
Philadelphia Eagles +10000 to +6600
Other Notable Line Movements
Offensive Player of the Year
Jameis Winston +15000 to +2500
Ezekiel Elliott +3000 to +5000
Jalen Hurts +8000 to +4000
Defensive Player of the Year
Chandler Jones +6600 to +900
Brian Burns +12500 to +5000
DeForest Buckner +10000 to +6600
Comeback Player of the Year
Jameis Winston +1200 to +500
Sam Darnold +2000 to +1400
Coach of the Year
Nick Sirianni +5000 to +2000
David Culley +6600 to +3000
Urban Meyer +1600 to +4000
Matt Nagy +2500 to +6600
Line Movement I Would Still Bet: Russell Wilson to Win MVP +1600
While it’s been well documented that Wilson has never even received a vote for MVP, this may be the year they finally not only give him a vote, they give him enough to win it. If there were any questions about how Wilson would acclimate to a new offensive coordinator in Shane Waldron, those seemed to be answered quickly versus the Indianapolis Colts who were the seventh-ranked total defense in DVOA last season.
The box score speaks for itself with four touchdowns, 254 yards on 18-of-23 pass attempts for a 152.3 passer rating. Digging deeper into the numbers it is even more impressive. Per rbsdm.com he had a total EPA of 11.3 or 0.35 per play, an ADOT of 9.8, and a completion percentage over expected at 19.5 all of which are well above the median. NextGen stats also credits him with the longest completed air distance pass in the league at 59.4 yards.
This line is down to +1000 at Draftkings, so make sure to lock this in at BetMGM.
