It’s that time of year to start looking at player props bets for the upcoming 2021 NFL season. In the coming weeks, we’ll take a look at some Over and Under Future bets worth considering at each position group.
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Why You Should Bet the OVER on Amari Cooper’s Receiving Yards Prop Bet
- On elite pace prior to Dak Prescott’s injury in 2020
- Don’t need to worry about CeeDee Lamb cutting into workload
- Schedule is tough, but comparable to last season
In 2020, Dallas Cowboys receiver Amari Cooper averaged 69.6 receiving yards per game, putting him on pace for 1,183.6 yards over a 17-game season.
Over the first five games of the year with a healthy Dak Prescott at quarterback, Cooper averaged 84.8 yards per game 一 a 1,441.6-yard pace over 17 games.
If Cooper could reach those dominant numbers with Prescott, and also maintain a strong pace without him, he looks like a good bet to hit the over on these props in 2021:
- 1175.5 receiving yards on BetMGM
- 1175.5 receiving yards on DraftKings
- 1200.5 receiving yards on FanDuel
Perhaps these numbers are slightly lower than expected because some people believe CeeDee Lamb will play a bigger role and cut into Cooper’s numbers (Lamb’s over/under is also over 1,000 yards).
However, it’s becoming increasingly common for teams to produce two 1,000-yard receivers. Over the past five years, there have been 23 sets of teammates to reach at least 942 receiving yards (the equivalent of 1,000 over 17 games).
Dallas does play a tough schedule 一 projected to be the ninth-most difficult based on pass efficiency defense 一 but the Cowboys’ schedule ranked 10th in this metric in 2020.
If Cooper was able to post these numbers in a 16-game season, against a tough schedule and mostly without Prescott, we should feel good about betting the over.