The Super Bowl LVII matchup is set between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs, so let’s break down a few Super Bowl player props worth betting on this week.
Over the last week we’ve covered Super Bowl LVII props from a variety of angles, and now it’s time for one last round-up of a few non-traditional prop bets that are worth considering.
Outcome of Eagles’ First Drive: Touchdown
The Eagles have scored a touchdown on their first offensive possession in 10 of 19 games, including the postseason 一 a league-high 52.6% touchdown rate per TruMedia. At these odds, betting on the first-drive touchdown for the Eagles is a great value:
This is the exact same odds as the Chiefs, despite Kansas City’s modest 26.3% touchdown rate on their first possession of games.
Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni and offensive coordinator Shane Steichen have done an exceptional job scripting early drives.
If we include the first drive of each half, the Eagles have scored a touchdown on a league-high 42.1% of their opening-half drives 一 nearly 10 percentage points higher than the next best team (Cincinnati Bengals, 34.2%).
DeVonta Smith: Most Receiving Yards
Last week I outlined reasons to take the over on DeVonta Smith’s receiving yards and, based on that same logic, there’s value in betting on him to lead all receivers in yardage in Super Bowl LVII at these odds:
To summarize the previous article, Smith sees increased usage against two-high coverages and no defense uses two-high coverage more often than the Chiefs.
Chiefs to Kick First Field Goal
The Eagles are the more aggressive team, especially early in games, so the Chiefs look like a good value on this prop:
In the first half of games, when presented with the opportunity to kick a field goal of 45 yards or shorter, the Chiefs have done so on 10 of 13 opportunities (77%), per TruMedia.
The Eagles attempted the field goal on just nine of 17 opportunities (53%).
Since the Eagles are more inclined to pass up a field goal and go for it on fourth down, the Chiefs appear to be more likely to attempt the first kick.
More Super Bowl Prop Bet Coverage:
- Best Long Shot Super Bowl Prop Bets
- Best Super Bowl Prop Bets for Travis Kelce, DeVonta Smith
- Best Super Bowl Prop Bets For Isiah Pacheco
- Best Super Bowl Prop Bets For Jalen Hurts
- Best Super Bowl Prop Bets For Patrick Mahomes
- Super Bowl 57 Prop Bet Tracker
Be sure to look through our Super Bowl 57 Hub for detailed coverage & analysis on the big game.
Also, check out the Sharp Angles Betting Podcast every Wednesday for further discussion on these player props and more betting advice for the week ahead.
Don’t Miss out on our Playoff Recommendations
As a THANK YOU for following us throughout the season, both our betting recommendations and the wonderful content the team produces on the site… we wanted to offer you an option to save and get on board for our Super Bowl betting recommendations with savings:
- Use coupon code SHARP25 for $25 off a Super Bowl Package.
Hurry, as this sale ends soon AND even sooner, we’ll be releasing written game previews and Super Bowl bets to follow and props when lines are posted.
This year has been another outstanding time to be a betting client at Sharp Football Analysis, with Warren Sharp‘s betting recommendations running extremely hot, going 74% in our last 46 NFL bets to close the season:
- Last 5 weeks in NFL: 34-12 (74%)
- Final 2022 NCAAF Bowls: 18-8 (69%) including 6-0 (100%) on elevated plays
- Final 2022 NFL Futures: 17-5 (77%)
- Final 2022 NFL Regular Season: 92-63 (59%)
- Final 2022 NFL Computer Totals: 37-15 (71%)
- Final 2022 NCAAF Regular Season: 126-94 (57%)
It’s truly been a great season and we’re excited for the playoffs, as it’s been extremely good to us in years past.
Historically, we’ve been outstanding on NFL Playoffs:
- 159-93 (62%) lifetime playoff record
- 25-10 (71%) lifetime Super Bowl record
- 16-6 (73%) on Super Bowl week releases last year (including props)