The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 14 matchup between the Chargers and Broncos.
Find a breakdown of every Week 14 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Denver | Rank | @ | LA Chargers | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | Spread | -3.0 | ||
| 20.0 | Implied Total | 23.0 | ||
| 21.9 | 15 | Points/Gm | 22.9 | 11 |
| 25.2 | 29 | Points All./Gm | 21.5 | 19 |
| 58.1 | 32 | Plays/Gm | 64.0 | 15 |
| 63.9 | 17 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 67.2 | 30 |
| 5.1 | 17 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.3 | 14 |
| 6 | 31 | Def. Yards/Play | 5.7 | 28 |
| 45.34% | 7 | Rush% | 39.45% | 25 |
| 54.66% | 26 | Pass% | 60.55% | 8 |
| 45.11% | 24 | Opp. Rush % | 39.58% | 7 |
| 54.89% | 9 | Opp. Pass % | 60.42% | 26 |
- The Chargers have scored a touchdown on 63.9% (23-of-36) of their red zone possessions, fifth in the league.
- The Broncos have scored a touchdown on 48.9% (22-of-45) of their red zone possessions, 24th in the league.
- Denver has scored a touchdown on 52.4% (11-of-21) of their goal-to-go possessions, tied for the worst rate in the league.
- Denver is allowing 33.4 yards per drive, 29th in the league.
- The Chargers are allowing 32.3 yards per drive, 27th in the league.
- The Chargers have scored 51.6% of the points scored in their games this season, 12th in the league and the highest rate for any team with a losing record.
- Games involving Denver are averaging a league-low 122.0 combined plays per game.
- The Chargers are averaging a new first down or touchdown on 22.1% of their first and second down plays. 27th in the league.
- 26.9% of the Charger rushing attempts have gained five or more yards, the lowest rate in the league.
- 40.2% of the rushing attempts against Denver have gained five or more yards, 30th in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Justin Herbert: Herbert ended last week as QB23 (7.9 points), the fourth time that he has ended a week as QB16 or lower over this past seven games.
Herbert failed to throw a touchdown pass for the second time this season. He also completed 59.5% of his passes, the sixth time over the past nine games that he failed to complete 60% of his attempts.
Herbert’s down weeks for fantasy have been fairly easy to diagnose, coming against the Chiefs, Jets, Ravens, and Patriots.
All of those teams are in the top 10 in passing points allowed per pass attempt.
The Broncos are still 29th (0.467) with their rough start to the year factored in, but they are third in the league since Week 5 (0.320).
Denver has allowed seven passing touchdowns over their past eight games, second in the league.
They did allow 10.1 yards per pass attempt to C.J. Stroud last week, but after limiting Stroud to a QB14 scoring week, Denver has not allowed a QB1 scoring week since Week 6
That run includes games against Stroud, Josh Allen, and Patrick Mahomes.
Gamers may not have a streamer available that can match Herbert’s weekly upside (he has five top-five weeks), but he is a boom-or-bust fantasy option this week.
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