The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 14 matchup between the Chiefs and Bills.
Find a breakdown of every Week 14 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
Buffalo | Rank | @ | Kansas City | Rank |
---|---|---|---|---|
2.5 | Spread | -2.5 | ||
22.5 | Implied Total | 25.0 | ||
27.3 | 5 | Points/Gm | 22.9 | 11 |
18.9 | 5 | Points All./Gm | 17.3 | 3 |
65.0 | 11 | Plays/Gm | 64.3 | 14 |
60.8 | 7 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 59.8 | 3 |
5.9 | 4 | Off. Yards/Play | 5.6 | 8 |
5.3 | 18 | Def. Yards/Play | 5 | 8 |
42.56% | 17 | Rush% | 39.43% | 26 |
57.44% | 16 | Pass% | 60.57% | 7 |
41.10% | 11 | Opp. Rush % | 41.36% | 14 |
58.90% | 22 | Opp. Pass % | 58.64% | 19 |
- The Chiefs have scored 50.25 points fewer than their implied team totals this season, 31st in the NFL.
- Kansas City has now scored fewer than 20 points in five games this season after having six such games from 2019 to 2022.
- The average length of touchdown for the Chiefs is 9.6 yards, 31st in the league.
- The Bills are first in the NFL in sack differential (+25) while the Chiefs are third (+22).
- The Chiefs have a takeaway on 5.9% of opponent possessions over their past five games, 30th in the league. They had forced a turnover on 15.3% of drives prior, eighth in the NFL.
- The Bills have scored 59.1% of the points scored in their games this season, fourth in the league and the highest rate for a team without a winning record.
- Buffalo is averaging a first down or touchdown once every 3.02 offensive plays, third in the NFL.
- Kansas City is averaging a first down or touchdown once every 3.11 plays, fourth.
- Buffalo has converted a league-high 49.7% of their third downs.
- Kansas City has converted 47.0% of their third downs, fourth in the league.
- 26.2% of the Buffalo drives fail to gain first down or touchdown, the lowest rate in the league.
- 26.4% of the Kansas City drives fail to gain a first down or touchdown, third in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Josh Allen: Allen exits the bye as the highest-scoring fantasy quarterback.
He has been a top-six scorer in seven of his past nine games played including a season-high 39.7 fantasy points against the Eagles before the bye.
Allen is a front-end fantasy option.
These teams have played five times since 2020, with Allen throwing 14 touchdown passes to two interceptions in those matchups. Allen has thrown multiple touchdowns in all five games including three or more touchdowns in each of the past three meetings.
Allen is averaging 276.4 passing yards with 57.8 rushing yards per game in those games.
Steve Spagnuolo has blitzed Allen on 33.7% of his dropbacks, which has given Kansas City the most success.
Against the blitz in those games, Allen has completed 49.2% of his passes for 4.9 yards per pass attempt.
When the Chiefs have not blitzed Allen, he has completed 69.9% of his passes for 9.4 Y/A.
When they have not pressured Allen, he has completed 73.2% of his passes for 8.5 Y/A.
When Allen has not been pressured this season, he is completing 75.2% of his passes for 8.0 Y/A compared to a 50.4% completion rate and 6.1 Y/A when he has been pressured.
The Chiefs had been an elite pass defense this season until Sunday night.
Jordan Love completed 69.4% of his passes with three touchdowns in that game. His 267 passing yards were the most the Chiefs allowed in a game since Week 5.
To continue reading this article
and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings and chats, click below to purchase our season-long fantasy package or weekly starter stack.
Purchase