Eagles vs 49ers Fantasy Football Worksheet, Week 4

The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers Sunday Night Football game.

Philadelphia	Rank	@	San Francisco	Rank
6.5		Spread	-6.5
19.25		Implied Total	25.75
19.7	27	Points/Gm	29	12
29	23	Points All./Gm	15.3	2
74	4	Plays/Gm	64.3	16
69	25	Opp. Plays/Gm	63	9
35.6%	27	Rush%	46.1%	10
64.4%	6	Pass%	53.9%	23
44.9%	20	Opp. Rush %	42.3%	15
55.1%	13	Opp. Pass %	57.7%	18

Carson Wentz is averaging a league-low 5.6 yards per pass attempt from a clean pocket.
Wentz currently is last among all quarterbacks in passing points per attempt (.223).
Wentz has not averaged 8.0 yards per pass attempt in a game since Week 1 of last season.
San Francisco is allowing a league-low 9.2 yards per completion.
The Eagles are averaging just 6.0 yards per pass attempt to their wide receivers (31st) after being 32nd in 2019 (6.5 Y/A).
Targeting his running backs, Wentz is averaging 4.0 yards per attempt (25th) after 6.9 yards in 2019 (fifth).
49ers running backs lead the league as a group with 6.6 yards per touch and 223.7 yards from scrimmage per game.
The 49ers are averaging 7.4 yards per attempt to their running backs, second in the league.
Both Philadelphia and San Francisco are tied for third in the league in yards per play allowed (4.8).

Quarterback

Carson Wentz: You see the numbers above. It is not entirely Wentz’s fault as his entire receiving corps have deteriorated, but his own play is compounding things. Wentz has a career-high 4.5% interception rate now after a sub-2.0% rate the previous three years. Wentz’s yards per attempt have dropped each week of the season with multiple interceptions in each. The one thing that may save him here is if he can run like he did a week ago when he added 12.5 rushing points to his line and were more than the 9.0 passing points he provided. A year after struggling to contain mobile passers, San Francisco has allowed 13-91-1 to Kyler Murray in Week 1 and 5-49 rushing to Daniel Jones a week ago. Even with that potential spade, Wentz is a QB2 option with his limited arsenal.

Nick Mullens: With Jimmy Garoppolo not practicing through Thursday, Mullens is on track to draw his second consecutive start Sunday Night. Last week, Mullens completed 25-of-36 passes for 343 yards (9.5 Y/A) with a touchdown versus the Giants, which was good for 17.7 fantasy points and a QB16 scoring week. In nine career starts, Mullens has now averaged 16.1 fantasy points per game with four top-12 scoring weeks (a high of QB7) and six weeks in the top half of weekly scoring at the position. Philadelphia ranks 23rd in passing points allowed (18.1 per game) and that is factoring in a game with Dwayne Haskins. Over the past two weeks, they have allowed a QB11 week to Jared Goff (23.9 points) and a QB12 week to Joe Burrow (20.4 points). Mullens is a strong floor-based QB2 and be used once again as a streamer in 2QB formats and single-game DFS slates.

Running Back

Miles Sanders: Sanders has played 78% of the team snaps in each of the past two weeks since returning to the lineup while handling the same 78% (45-of-58) of the team backfield touches. Sanders has also run 72 pass routes to just 15 for Boston Scott over those games. After two soft spots against the Rams and Bengals who have struggled to defend the run, the Eagles get a tougher task against a 49ers defense that is fourth in rushing points and sixth in receiving points allowed to opposing backfields.

The 49ers have drawn the Cardinals, Jets, and Giants to open, so grains of salt applied, but they also were third against backs in 2019. With the Eagles limping into this game offensively, Sanders will be counted on in all capacities to play a large role in the offense. Even in a tough objective matchup, dual-usage running backs playing heavy snaps are in short supply. Sanders may not be in line for a ceiling week, but his role is set up to provide a usable floor with potential upside.

49ers RBs: With injuries to both Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman, Jerick McKinnon led the 49ers backfield with 48 snaps while Jeff Wilson played 23 snaps. McKinnon handled 17 touches for 77 yards with a score while Wilson added 15 touches for 69 yards and two touchdowns. Seven of Wilson’s touches and a score came on the final drive of the game. McKinnon did pick up a rib injury that has him day-to-day, so keep tabs on his availability as Mostert is expected to miss another week and Coleman is on injured reserve.

The Eagles are ninth in yards per carry (3.70 YPC) allowed to backfields and are fourth in receiving points allowed to the position. The 49ers backfield has been consistent in churning fantasy production regardless of matchup, leaving McKinnon as a fringe RB2/FLEX and Wilson as a touchdown chasing FLEX.

Wide Receiver

Deebo Samuel: With Samuel returning to the lineup, the 49ers wide receiving unit is back together. Coming off a Jones Fracture, Samuel is still a question mark, but showed last season that he can produced on low volume. Samuel averaged just 5.9 targets per game over his final 12 games, but was the WR9 in overall scoring Weeks 9-17 among wideouts with 39-615-2 receiving with 9-122-2 on the ground. Over the course of 2019, Samuel led all wideouts in rushing with 159 yards and three scores. Unknown usage and potential snap limitations leave Samuel as an upside WR as he works his way back to where he was as a rookie.

Brandon Aiyuk: Aiyuk ran a season-high 35 pass routes last week, catching 5-of-8 targets for 80 yards while tacking on three carries for 31 yards and touchdown on the ground. Aiyuk ran just 25% of his routes (with one catch) from the slot, meaning both he and Samuel will see some Darius Slay, who has been hot out of the gates with his new team. Slay has allowed just 10 catches for 87 yards in his coverage through three games while top boundary wideouts Terry McLaurin (5-61-0), Robert Woods (2-14-0) and A.J. Green (5-36-0). Aiyuk is a WR5/FLEX that can add production in the rushing game.

Greg Ward Jr.: Four weeks in and we are at the Greg Ward is the best Eagles wide receiver by default portion of the season. With injuries to DeSean Jackson, Jalen Reagor, Alshon Jeffery, and Dallas Goedert, Ward is going to be involved once again. Ward received 11 targets (25.6%) last week, catching eight for 72 yards and a touchdown. Ward has averaged just 8.6 yards per reception and contingent on volume. But even in a tough overall matchup, he will get it. Ward is a WR3 option in full-PPR formats and a WR4/FLEX in non-PPR leagues.

Tight End

Zach Ertz: With Goedert out to go along with all the receiving injuries, Ertz is the best pass catcher the Eagles have and is surely going to be pumped with as many targets as possible. With Goedert exiting early last week, Ertz received a season-high 10 targets, catching seven for 70 yards.

The 49ers will surely allocate resources to Ertz being the primary target for the Eagles and San Francisco has allowed just seven catches for 61 yards to tight ends through three weeks. That has come against the Cardinals, Jets, and Giants, but they were also sixth against the position a year ago. Ertz is a defacto lead target and a top-four tight end this weekend with Goedert sidelined, despite the matchup.

George Kittle: Kittle is good to go to return this week and practiced fully all week. The Eagles have only allowed 11 receptions to opposing tight ends, but four have gone for touchdowns. They also have not been tested like the 49ers, facing just Tyler Higbee (5-54-3) to go with Logan Thomas and Drew Sample. With Kittle back, he immediately pops back into TE1 status even if we are tempering expectations with him coming off a two-week absence.

More Week 4 Fantasy breakdowns from The Worksheet: