The Worksheet, a fantasy football overview by Rich Hribar, breaking down everything you need to know for the Week 3 Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings Sunday afternoon game.

DetroitRank@MinnesotaRank
6Spread-6
23Implied Total29
35.52Points/Gm1525
32.531Points All./Gm15.56
63.515Plays/Gm6023
7228Opp. Plays/Gm64.519
6.46Off. Yards/Play5.513
5.922Def. Yards/Play6.428
40.94%13Rush%32.50%28
59.06%20Pass%67.50%5
41.67%18Opp. Rush %40.31%14
58.33%15Opp. Pass %59.69%19
  • Scoring 35 and 36 points, this is the first time that the Lions have scored 30 or more points in the first two weeks of the season since 1970.
  • The Lions lead the NFL with 259 yards gained on explosive carries (gains of 10 or more yards) and rate of explosive carries (22.5%).
  • 14.6% of Jared Goff’s completions have been touchdowns, trailing only Lamar Jackson (15.8%). Goff’s career rate is 6.9%.
  • Kirk Cousins is the lowest-rated quarterback on third down (20.4), completing 8-of-18 for 90 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions.
  • Minnesota has not scored a touchdown on any of their nine drives in the second half to start the season, joining the Seahawks and Cowboys.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Kirk Cousins (TRUST): I was Charlie Brown last week, once again falling for Cousins in a primetime spot in what appeared to be a game environment set up for a shootout. Instead, Cousins bricked the matchup, completing 27-of-46 passes for 221 yards (4.8 yards per attempt) with one touchdown and three interceptions, limping his way to a QB26 scoring week. 

While it is hard to support Cousins after a game like Monday, we must press on. He had done this before and this is a strong setup for a high-scoring game. 

It will be interesting to see how Detroit approaches things in this matchup. Through two weeks, opposing teams have played man coverage just 15% of the time against Minnesota. No team has played more man coverage than the Lions (39.6%) while they have blitzed at the fourth highest rate (38.1%). 

Cousins has only been blitzed on 22.9% of his dropbacks so far (23rd), but he is 9-of-19 (47.4%) for 3.5 Y/A on those dropbacks as opposed to completing 69.5% of his passes for 7.3 Y/A when not blitzed. 

When Cousins has been blitzed, the Vikings have allowed a pressure on 47.4% of those dropbacks, which is 22nd in the league. 

The aggressive play has hurt Detroit more than helped their cause. Despite blitzing so heavily, Detroit has generated pressure on just 40.5% of those blitzes (16th). When they have not gotten home on those blitzes, Detroit has allowed 7.9 yards per pass attempt (22nd) and a 77.8% completion rate (24th). 

Cousins has not faced a lot of man coverage, but he has struggled on that small sample, completing 5-of-16 passes for 62 yards (3.9 Y/A). That is still a sample largely influenced by Monday night, because a year ago Cousins wrecked man coverage. In fact, over the past three seasons, only Aaron Rodgers has a higher rating than Cousins does versus man coverage while Cousins leads all passers 2019-2021 in yards per attempt versus man coverage (9.1 Y/A).

Through two weeks, the Lions have allowed 12.1 yards per completion (27th) and two top-five scoring weeks to Jalen Hurts and Carson Wentz. I understand the frustration stemming from Week 2, but I am going back to Cousins as one of the better pocket passing plays in Week 3.

To continue reading this article

and gain access to The Worksheet and all of Rich’s regular content, including positional rankings, and chats, click below to purchase our season-long Fantasy Package.

Purchase
Already a Subscriber?Log In