The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Raiders vs. 49ers Week 9 matchup.
Find a breakdown of every Week 9 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Las Vegas | Rank | @ | San Francisco | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.0 | Spread | -10.0 | ||
| 20.75 | Implied Total | 30.75 | ||
| 27.6 | 6 | Points/Gm | 28.1 | 4 |
| 28.8 | 31 | Points All./Gm | 19.9 | 6 |
| 63.8 | 10 | Plays/Gm | 58.4 | 29 |
| 62.6 | 16 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 63.1 | 17 |
| 5.4 | 15 | Off. Yards/Play | 6.4 | 1 |
| 6.1 | 32 | Def. Yards/Play | 4.7 | 4 |
| 40.6% | 22 | Rush% | 46.7% | 10 |
| 59.4% | 11 | Pass% | 53.3% | 23 |
| 45.7% | 25 | Opp. Rush % | 40.5% | 10 |
| 54.3% | 8 | Opp. Pass % | 59.5% | 23 |
- The Raiders are last in the NFL in defensive EPA over the past four weeks (-55.4). The 31st-ranked team over that span (Arizona) is at -23.3 EPA on defense.
- Las Vegas has allowed a league-high 3.48 points per drive over that span.
- The Raiders lead the league in passing plays of 15 or more yards (53).
- The Raiders have allowed 48 passing plays of 15-plus yards (28th).
- 32.1% of San Francisco's passing plays have gained 10 or more yards, 3rd in the league.
- 31.4% of Las Vegas' passing plays have gained 10 or more yards, 4th in the league.
- 31.3% of the passing plays against Las Vegas have gained 10 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
- 18.6% of the passing plays against San Francisco have gained 10 or more yards, 2nd in the league.
- 5.8% of Las Vegas' rushing plays have gained 10 or more yards, the lowest rate in the league.
- 2.8% of the rushing plays against San Francisco have gained 10 or more yards, the lowest rate in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Raiders vs. 49ers Fantasy Quarterback Preview
Brock Purdy (TRUST)
Purdy comes out of the bye completing 69.2% of his passes (3rd) for 8.3 yards per pass attempt (4th), 12.0 yards per completion (6th), and a 7.1% touchdown rate (3rd).
He is second in passing points per dropback (0.53).
We will follow the status of the San Francisco wide receiver room this week to ensure that they get a few bodies back, but as long as they do, Purdy is in a tremendous spot out of the bye.
The Raiders have allowed 30-plus points in five straight games.
They are allowing 7.9 yards per pass attempt (28th), a 7.1% touchdown rate (30th), and have allowed multiple passing touchdowns in six straight games.
Purdy has faced the two teams below them in touchdown rate allowed (Arizona and Miami), scoring 28.5 and 31.3 fantasy points in those games.
Kirk Cousins
Cousins just keeps on producing fantasy points.
After closing last week as the QB2 (28.2 points), Cousins has been a QB1 scorer in six of the past seven games.
He has thrown multiple touchdowns in seven of eight games this season.
Cousins took advantage of a good matchup last week, posting season highs in completion rate (73.1%) and yards per pass attempt (9.5) against the Jets.
Cousins had been getting by on late-game production against tougher opponents before Sunday, which is on the table here.
San Francisco is not a strong top-down matchup given how they want to defend vertical passing and take away the middle of the field.
The 49ers allow 6.3 yards per pass attempt (6th) while facing a league-low 5.9 air yards per pass attempt.
Opponents are throwing between the numbers at a league-low 28.6% rate against the 49ers.
On throws 10 or more yards downfield, the 49ers have allowed a 40.4% completion rate (2nd).
Cousins is throwing the ball 10 or more yards downfield on 37.7% of his passes (9th), averaging 8.1 air yards per throw (8th), and throwing between the numbers on 55% of his throws (9th).
This is a contrast of styles.
The 49ers could be getting Nick Bosa and Upton Stout back on the defensive side this week.
If Cousins is good in this game, he pushes it into an excellent game environment.
If it turns into a tough spot for Cousins given the matchup and his lower-end road total, he has scored late-game points, and the 49ers allow late-game points.
Cousins is second in the league in fourth-quarter fantasy points (56.8).
As long as Cousins is in the game, he can chase points ere.
We still want to insulate the potential of Fernando Mendoza entering any game that can be lopsided, but you can make the case for Cousins continuing to get there in cumulative production as a volume-based QB1/QB2.
The 49ers have allowed three QB1 scoring weeks this season.
Two have come at home, allowing late-game points to Jacoby Brissett (14.6 fourth-quarter points) and Jayden Daniels (10.2 fourth-quarter points).
Raiders vs. 49ers Fantasy Running Back Preview
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More Week 9 Fantasy Breakdowns From The Worksheet:
| Week 9 NFL Games | Time |
|---|---|
| Jaguars @ Ravens | Thursday Night Football |
| Bengals vs. Falcons | Sunday -- 9:30 a.m. ET |
| Jets @ Chiefs | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Cowboys @ Colts | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Lions @ Dolphins | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Browns @ Saints | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Giants @ Eagles | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Rams @ Commanders | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Broncos @ Panthers | Sunday -- 1 p.m. ET |
| Texans @ Chargers | Sunday -- 4:05 p.m. ET |
| Packers @ Patriots | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Raiders @ 49ers | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Cardinals @ Seahawks | Sunday -- 4:25 p.m. ET |
| Buccaneers @ Bears | Sunday Night Football |
| Bills @ Vikings | Monday Night Football |
