2023 NFL Defensive Player of the Year: Predictions, Favorites & Best Bets

Get the latest NFL MVP Defensive Player of the Year betting odds and track movement for all top players during the 2023 NFL season.

All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.

2023 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds to Win

PlayerOdds
Micah Parsons+650
Myles Garrett+700
T.J. Watt+750
Nick Bosa+1100
Ahmad Gardner+1100
Maxx Crosby+1200
Aaron Donald+1800
Brian Burns+2000
Quinnen Williams+2000
Haason Reddick+2500
Aidan Hutchinson+2800
Chris Jones+3000
Roquan Smith+3000

Who is the current favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year?

Micah Parsons is currently the favorite to win the 2023 Defensive Player of the Year at +650 odds, followed by Myles Garrett (+750), TJ Watt (+750), and Nick Bosa (+1100).

Best Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year

Micah Parsons to win DPOY +650

Parsons was second in voting behind Bosa in Defensive Player of the Year voting for 2022, though he got no first-place votes. Parsons tied with Bosa in pressures last season, per TruMedia/PFF, but that only turned into 13.5 sacks. He was also first in ESPN’s pass rush win rate.

» Bet it now: +650

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Sleeper Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year

Aaron Donald to win DPOY +1800

Any time you can get Aaron Donald considered a “sleeper” for a year-end award, go for it. Donald missed time last season and there have been questions about his future but when he was on the field last season, he was still Aaron Donald.

The Rams may be retooling a bit for the 2023 season but as long as Donald is playing, he’s one of the best defensive players in the league.

» Bet it now: +1800

Who won AP Defensive Player of the Year last year?

Nick Bosa (49ers) won DPOY last year, receiving 46 first place votes for 237 points, beating Micah Parsons (Cowboys) who had 101 points, but no first place votes.

Past AP Defensive Player of the Year Winners:

Year Player Team Position
2022 Nick Bosa San Francisco 49ers EDGE
2021 T.J. Watt Pittsburgh Steelers OLB
2020 Aaron Donald Los Angeles Rams DT
2019 Stephon Gilmore New England Patriots CB
2018 Aaron Donald Los Angeles Rams DT
2017 Aaron Donald Los Angeles Rams DT
2016 Khalil Mack Oakland Raiders OLB
2015 J.J. Watt Houston Texans DE
2014 J.J. Watt Houston Texans DE
2013 Luke Kuechly Carolina Panthers ILB
2012 J.J. Watt Houston Texans DE
2011 Terrell Suggs Baltimore Ravens OLB
2010 Troy Polamalu Pittsburgh Steelers SS

When Should you bet on the Defensive Player of the Year?

If you’re betting on Defensive Player of the Year favorites, you should place bets closer to the start of the season — that way you’ll keep funds in your account for an extra couple of months.

When placing a future bet an important concept to understand is the time value of money. The concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim.

Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as the 2023 Defensive Player of the Year bet will not be graded until February 2024 tying up funds wagered for many months.

Does this concept insinuate that no future bet should be made until closer to the season? No, the offseason is a great time to identify mispriced higher-odds players that could have their odds shift significantly with roster changes, also the players with higher odds reduce the time value effect as the potential payout is higher.

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