Get the latest NFL MVP Defensive Player of the Year betting odds and track movement for all top players during the 2023 NFL season.
All betting lines provided by BetMGM Sportsbook.
2023 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Odds to Win
Who is the current favorite to win Defensive Player of the Year?
Micah Parsons is currently the favorite to win the 2023 Defensive Player of the Year at +650 odds, followed by Myles Garrett (+750), TJ Watt (+750), and Nick Bosa (+1100).
Best Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year
Micah Parsons to win DPOY +650
Parsons was second in voting behind Bosa in Defensive Player of the Year voting for 2022, though he got no first-place votes. Parsons tied with Bosa in pressures last season, per TruMedia/PFF, but that only turned into 13.5 sacks. He was also first in ESPN’s pass rush win rate.
Sleeper Bet to win Defensive Player of the Year
Aaron Donald to win DPOY +1800
Any time you can get Aaron Donald considered a “sleeper” for a year-end award, go for it. Donald missed time last season and there have been questions about his future but when he was on the field last season, he was still Aaron Donald.
The Rams may be retooling a bit for the 2023 season but as long as Donald is playing, he’s one of the best defensive players in the league.
Who won AP Defensive Player of the Year last year?
Nick Bosa (49ers) won DPOY last year, receiving 46 first place votes for 237 points, beating Micah Parsons (Cowboys) who had 101 points, but no first place votes.
Past AP Defensive Player of the Year Winners:
|2022||Nick Bosa||San Francisco 49ers||EDGE|
|2021||T.J. Watt||Pittsburgh Steelers||OLB|
|2020||Aaron Donald||Los Angeles Rams||DT|
|2019||Stephon Gilmore||New England Patriots||CB|
|2018||Aaron Donald||Los Angeles Rams||DT|
|2017||Aaron Donald||Los Angeles Rams||DT|
|2016||Khalil Mack||Oakland Raiders||OLB|
|2015||J.J. Watt||Houston Texans||DE|
|2014||J.J. Watt||Houston Texans||DE|
|2013||Luke Kuechly||Carolina Panthers||ILB|
|2012||J.J. Watt||Houston Texans||DE|
|2011||Terrell Suggs||Baltimore Ravens||OLB|
|2010||Troy Polamalu||Pittsburgh Steelers||SS|
When Should you bet on the Defensive Player of the Year?
If you’re betting on Defensive Player of the Year favorites, you should place bets closer to the start of the season — that way you’ll keep funds in your account for an extra couple of months.
When placing a future bet an important concept to understand is the time value of money. The concept that money is worth more now than the same sum will be worth in the future due to its earning potential in the interim.
Wagering now comes at an opportunity cost as the 2023 Defensive Player of the Year bet will not be graded until February 2024 tying up funds wagered for many months.
Does this concept insinuate that no future bet should be made until closer to the season? No, the offseason is a great time to identify mispriced higher-odds players that could have their odds shift significantly with roster changes, also the players with higher odds reduce the time value effect as the potential payout is higher.