In the 2020 content hub, you can find best ball strategy and optimal roster construction per position as well as player rankings that are updated through the offseason. Throughout the offseason, we want to provide updates on player movement in best ball drafts. This allows us to maintain a more current pulse for where players are now being valued that were impacted by recent news.
We did our first look at ADP risers after NFL free agency. Some of those players had immediate recoil in their spikes in cost after the draft, but we are here right now to talk about the risers in cost once again. This time we have the aftermath from the NFL Draft that has altered the fantasy landscape.
Post-NFL Draft ADP Risers
*ADP From 4/27-5/13, prior ADP From 4/1-4/25
No player has made a bigger jump up in draft cost over this period than Ke’Shawn Vaughn after he was selected in the third round (76th overall) by the Buccaneers. In 2019, nearly no back in this class was asked to do as much as Vaughn across the board for his team’s offense than Vaughn was for Vanderbilt. He accounted for 70.7% of the Vandy non-QB carries (second in this class), 69.7% of the non-QB rushing yards (second), 36.2% of the team yards from scrimmage (third), 13.9% of the receptions (second) and scored 47.6% of the team touchdowns (second).
Tampa Bay ranked 27th in the league in rushing efficiency and explosive run rate in 2019. Their backs combined to rank 18th in touches per game (26.5), 20th in yards from scrimmage per game (121.5), and 24th in yards per touch (4.6). Second-year running back Ronald Jones made a significant jump up to 203 touches and 5.1 yards per touch from his anemic rookie season usage (30 touches) and efficiency (5.1 yards per touch).
Despite his improvement in year two, the Buccaneers were still reluctant to fully trust him with the offense, allowing Peyton Barber (170 touches) to carve into his workload. Vaughn’s three-down ability could make him the 1A option sooner than later if Jones still leaves that much opportunity on the table initially for the rookie who has now jumped into the top-70 picks on both sites.
It is not often an offensive draft pick actually lands in the one spot that makes the most sense in elevating his skill set, but that’s what we got when the Chiefs selected Clyde Edwards-Helaire with the final pick in the first round of the draft. If you are wondering what the Chiefs offense did for his stock in drafts, the Fresh Prince of Helaire is now a second-round draft choice on both major sites after going in the early sixth round prior to the draft.
In getting traded to the Miami Dolphins on day three of the draft, Matt Breida was a winner leaving draft weekend. He was buried on the San Francisco depth chart, playing just 45 total snaps over the final seven games of the 2019 season. His trade (and subsequent action of Miami not drafting another running back in the draft) also secured a role for Jordan Howard as the banger in the Miami offense.
Breida has scored just six rushing touchdowns in his career, and four of those have been for 30-plus yards out. Howard will be the favorite to score touchdowns in the offense if the team can generate scoring production. No team got less production from their backfield in 2019 than the Dolphins. Miami backs collectively ranked dead last in touches (22.9) and yards from scrimmage (89.4) per game while averaging 3.9 yards per touch and scoring five total touchdowns.
That trade of Breida also removed one slice from the pie in the San Francisco backfield, giving drafters more confidence in Tevin Coleman having more clarity as the option behind Raheem Mostert. Coleman battled multiple injuries in 2019 on his way to 51.7 total yards per game, his fewest in a season since his rookie year.
Over the final seven games of the season, Coleman was out-touched by Mostert 126-to-58, but in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, the team once again showed that any back can step forward in the offense, with Coleman receiving a season-high 22 touches for 105 yards and two touchdowns while Mostert received 12 touches. The next week, Coleman injured his shoulder early in the game as he and Mostert were splitting snaps prior to Mostert going bananas the rest of the way in the NFC Championship game.
Rob Gronkowski is back and he is back with Tom Brady. With the return of Gronk, drafters have slotted him initially in as the average TE11 in Fanball drafts and the TE9 in FFPC formats. The last time we saw Gronk on the field in 2018, he was the TE11 in PPR points per game.
A couple of rookie wideouts selected with first-round draft capital had significant spikes in their ADP. The Eagles drafted Jalen Reagor at pick No. 21 overall and then he was followed immediately by the Vikings selection of Justin Jefferson. Both are still being selected just outside of single-digit rounds, but made multiple round jumps after the draft.
Only one player here was also on the first list we did back after free agency and that is Hayden Hurst. Hurst has continued to matriculate up draft boards this offseason and got another bump as a post-draft winner after the Falcons bypassed adding to their wide receiving corps, leaving Hurst the favorite to secure the crux of intermediate targets in the offense.
At the tail end of the largest spikes, we see Dak Prescott has climbed ahead of Deshaun Watson on both sites as the QB4 now selected on average in drafts. Prescott has jumped nearly a full round on each site after the Cowboys added another weapon to his arsenal in CeeDee Lamb with their first-round pick.