The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 5 matchup between the Bills and Jaguars in London.

Find a breakdown of every Week 5 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

JacksonvilleRank@BuffaloRank
5.5 Spread-5.5
21.25 Implied Total26.75
20.020Points/Gm34.82
20.512Points All./Gm13.82
66.512Plays/Gm65.813
61.59Opp. Plays/Gm50.31
5.017Off. Yards/Play5.94
5.422Def. Yards/Play5.728
42.11%18Rush%45.25%11
57.89%15Pass%54.75%22
39.02%10Opp. Rush %37.31%7
60.98%23Opp. Pass %62.69%26

  • The Bills are second in the NFL in points scored per drive (3.14).
  • The Jaguars are 23rd in points scored per drive (1.55) after ranking 11th in 2022 (2.08).
  • Buffalo has scored 71.7% of the points in their games, second to only Dallas (75.2%).
  • Buffalo has punted on a league-low 16.7% of their possessions. The league average is 37.0%.
  • The Bills are averaging a league-high 6.8 sacks plus takeaways per game.
  • The Bills have had a league-high eight possessions start in the opponent’s territory, scoring a touchdown on five of those possessions.
  • 29.6% of the Jacksonville rushing attempts have gained five or more yards, 31st in the league.
  • Buffalo is fourth in the NFL in preventing any yardage on 24.7% of opponent rushing attempts, but last in the NFL in the rate of runs allowed to gain 10 or more yards (19.2%).

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Josh Allen: Allen’s Week 1 start is long in the rearview mirror as he has come back with games as QB6 (23.7 points), QB8 (21.3 points), and QB1 (36.5 points).

Allen has been the league’s best passer with the use of play-action early in the season.

With the use of play action, Allen is 27-of-33 (81.8%) for a league-high 13.7 yards per pass attempt and a league-high five touchdowns. That is good for a perfect 158.3 rating.

Allen is right back at the top of fantasy QB1 options.

The Jaguars have allowed over 20 fantasy points to every quarterback they have faced outside of Desmond Ridder, which is Anthony Richardson (20.9 points), Patrick Mahomes (21.2 points), and C.J. Stroud (20.6 points).

They are mid-to-subpar in allowing 7.1 yards per pass attempt (18th) and a 4.3% touchdown rate (22nd) to passers while also allowing 90 rushing yards and a touchdown to quarterbacks (20th in rushing points allowed).

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