The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 5 matchup between the Colts and Titans.

Find a breakdown of every Week 5 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

1.5 Spread-1.5
20.5 Implied Total22.0
17.58Points All./Gm24.822
61.810Opp. Plays/Gm74.532
4.919Off. Yards/Play4.822
513Def. Yards/Play5.219
39.27%11Opp. Rush %44.97%21
60.73%22Opp. Pass %55.03%12

  • The Colts have lost seven consecutive games at home, their longest streak since 2011.
  • The Titans have won five straight games (and covered in all five) in this rivalry, their longest winning streak in this matchup as a franchise.
  • Tennessee is allowing a league-low 2.9 yards per rushing play.
  • 18.5% of the completions against the Colts have gained 20 or more yards, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Colts are averaging a league-low 2.6 yards per play on third downs.
  • The Colts are averaging 5.1 yards per play with Anthony Richardson in the game (15th) as opposed to 4.6 yards with him off the field (27th).
  • The Titans are averaging 3.0 yards per play on third downs, 29th in the league.

Trust = spike production for that player


Anthony Richardson: Sunday was another example of the full experience of Richardson as a volatile passer, reliable rusher, and thus, a steadfast fantasy producer.

Richardson only completed 11-of-25 passes (44.0%), but his 18.2 yards per completed pass in Week 4 was second in the league.

Richardson is last in the NFL in completion rate below expectations (-11.2%) on his 85 early-career dropbacks, but has generated explosive plays on completions and comes with a high rushing floor.

Richardson added another 56 yards and his fourth rushing touchdown of the season on Sunday.

He now has 37.1 rushing points (second behind Lamar Jackson), which has anchored his fantasy line. Joe Burrow has 33.1 passing points this season.

On a per-snap basis, Richardson is now averaging a league-high 0.452 fantasy points per snap. Josh Allen is second at 0.362.

There will continue to be highs and lows with Richardson as a passer. That is who he was as a prospect.

This is a spot where there can be some passing upside.

Even after last week’s game limiting the Bengals, the Titans are still allowing 0.457 passing points per attempt (25th) and 7.8 yards per attempt (27th).

We will inevitably have a game in which Richardson fails to tack on a rushing touchdown to his fantasy line. When that happens, we could see some Justin Fields-esque fantasy lines, but his overall rushing output is higher than what Fields is working with to open 2023.

That rushing opportunity can still provide a safety net as a fantasy producer and QB1.

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