The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 5 matchup between the Jets and Broncos.

Find a breakdown of every Week 5 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.

NY JetsRank@DenverRank
2.5 Spread-2.5
20.5 Implied Total23.0
15.525Points/Gm25.010
21.014Points All./Gm37.532
54.332Plays/Gm56.831
71.530Opp. Plays/Gm65.523
4.724Off. Yards/Play5.96
5.115Def. Yards/Play732
37.79%25Rush%37.00%28
62.21%8Pass%63.00%5
49.30%30Opp. Rush %48.09%26
50.70%3Opp. Pass %51.91%7

  • Opponents have reached the red zone or scored prior on a league-high 55.5% of their drives against Denver.
  • Denver has allowed a league-high seven touchdowns from outside of the red zone.
  • 86.9% (20-of-23) of the scoring plays against Denver have been touchdowns, the highest rate in the league.
  • Just 31.6% (6-of-19) of the scoring plays against the Jets’ defense have been touchdowns, the second-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Broncos are allowing a gain of 20 or more yards once every 10.5 plays, the highest rate in the league.
  • The Jets are allowing a gain of 20 or more yards once every 26.0 plays, third in the league.
  • The Jets are last in the NFL in time of possession margin (-9:27 minutes) through four weeks.
  • The Jets have converted just 26.5% (13-of-49) of their third downs, the lowest rate in the league.
  • The Jets have converted just 18.2% (2-of-11) of their third downs needing three or fewer yards, the lowest rate in the league. The league average is 61.8%.
  • The Broncos are allowing a league-high 8.4 yards per passing play.

Trust = spike production for that player

Quarterback

Russell Wilson: Wilson already has logged three QB1 scoring weeks over the opening month of the season.

He had four over the entire 2022 season.

Wilson is currently seventh in the league with 7.7 yards per pass attempt with nine touchdowns and two interceptions. It took him until Week 14 last season to throw his ninth touchdown.

Wilson has been reliable in matchups we have needed him, but this week will be a true test.

No quarterback has finished higher than QB17 against the Jets this season, and that includes Josh Allen, Dak Prescott, and Patrick Mahomes.

The Jets are allowing 6.5 yards per pass attempt (10th) and are ninth in passing points allowed per attempt (0.332).

Wilson is back on the table this season for good matchups, but this is not a week to expect a spike outcome, leaving him as a QB2.

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