The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Bears and Buccaneers.

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ChicagoRank@Tampa BayRank
3.0 Spread-3.0
19.25 Implied Total22.25
38.031Points All./Gm17.012
60.011Opp. Plays/Gm63.015
4.421Off. Yards/Play3.630
5.527Def. Yards/Play5.930
53.33%28Opp. Rush %26.98%2
46.67%5Opp. Pass %73.02%31

  • The Bears have now lost 11 consecutive games dating back to last season, the longest active streak in the league.
  • Chicago has allowed 25-plus points in all of those games, the longest streak for a team since 2016 and the second-longest streak ever (13 games).
  • The Bears have allowed 2.82 points per drive in Week 1 (26th) after allowing a league-high 2.46 points per drive in 2022.
  • The Bears allowed pressure on 54.2% of drop backs (31st) after a 43.1% rate in 2022 (31st).
  • Justin Fields averaged a league-low 3.1 air yards per pass attempt in Week 1 per TruMedia.
  • It was his lowest rate in a game for his career (previous was 5.7 yards). It also is the lowest rate for a CHI QB in a game in their database (since 2006).

Trust = spike production for that player


Justin Fields: Fields was part of the disappointing return that followed early-round quarterback drafters in Week 1.

He closed the opening game as QB16 (14.5 points).

Fields once again was under heavy pressure all afternoon against the Packers. He was pressured on 54.2% of his drop backs, below only Daniel Jones.

Under pressure, Fields was 8-of-15 for 83 yards (5.5 Y/A) with a touchdown and an interception.

No quarterback in the NFL averaged fewer air yards per pass attempt despite the Bears using 11 personnel on a league-high 90.2% of their passing plays after a 71.3% rate in 2022 (19th).

Just 4.5% of Fields’ throws went 10 yards or further. The next closest quarterback was at 16.7% while the league average was 28.0%.

It doesn’t matter how many wide receivers you have on the field if you are not throwing to them. Fields targeted wide receivers on just 36.4% of his throws, ahead of only Desmond Ridder (23.5%) in Week 1.

The silver lining is that the Bears tried to throw the ball.

Fields dropped back 48 times, a higher number than he did in any game a year ago. He had just 40 drop backs in one game last season.

The Buccaneers only pressured Kirk Cousins 27.7% of the time in Week 1 (23rd), but the pressure allowed by Chicago has been an issue going back to last season.

The Bucs blitzed 42.6% of the time in Week 1, the highest rate in the league.

Dating back to last season, Fields has posted a 105.4 rating against the blitz, which is seventh in the league.

The Packers blitzed Fields on just 15 drop backs, but he was 9-of-11 for 96 yards (8.7 Y/A) with a touchdown when they did.

It is when teams play coverage and do not send extra defenders that has given Fields issues, which is what the Packers did in Week 1.

When teams do not blitz and play zone coverage, Fields is 33rd in passer rating (75.8) since the start of last season, throwing just three touchdown passes on 266 drop backs.

The Packers did just that on 31 drop backs, in which Fields was 15-of-24 for 120 yards (5.0 Y/A) with an interception.

If Todd Bowles wants to play his way, then he is going to be playing into a strength for Fields.

You are already giving Fields more runway as a QB1 given the draft cost he carried, but that makes Fields an intriguing DFS tournament play.

Though disappointing for fantasy in Week 1, Fields still did not bottom out (he finished just two points below QB10) since he was able to add 59 rushing yards.

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