The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Packers and Falcons.
Find a breakdown of every Week 2 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
| Green Bay | Rank | @ | Atlanta | Rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | Spread | 1.5 | ||
| 21.0 | Implied Total | 19.5 | ||
| 38.0 | 2 | Points/Gm | 24.0 | 10 |
| 20.0 | 14 | Points All./Gm | 10.0 | 5 |
| 60.0 | 22 | Plays/Gm | 48.0 | 31 |
| 70.0 | 25 | Opp. Plays/Gm | 72.0 | 27 |
| 5.5 | 6 | Off. Yards/Play | 4.6 | 18 |
| 4.4 | 12 | Def. Yards/Play | 3.9 | 7 |
| 53.33% | 5 | Rush% | 54.17% | 4 |
| 46.67% | 28 | Pass% | 45.83% | 29 |
| 41.43% | 14 | Opp. Rush % | 44.44% | 19 |
| 58.57% | 19 | Opp. Pass % | 55.56% | 14 |
- The Falcons averaged 15.1 yards per possession in Week 1, 30th in the league.
- Running backs accounted for 77.8% of the Atlanta fantasy points in Week 1, the highest rate in the league. The next closest team (the Bears) was at 47.7%.
- 50% of Desmond Ridder’s passes were at or behind the line of scrimmage, the highest rate in the league in Week 1. The League average was 24.5%.
- Atlanta used 11 personnel on a league-low 22.7% of passing plays. The next closest team was at 46.2%.
- The Packers played zone coverage on a league-high 92.9% of plays in Week 1. The league average was 71.5%.
- Green Bay had a first down on just 11.9% of early down plays (first or second down), 30th in the league Week 1.
- The Packers converted 56.3% of their third down plays, third in the league.
Trust = spike production for that player
Quarterback
Jordan Love: Love’s second career start went much better than the first.
He ended the week as the QB3 (23.0 points).
Love only completed 55.6% of his passes (25th in the league), but his 9.1 yards per pass attempt were third, and he threw three passing scores.
There is room to clean up a few areas.
On early downs, Love was just 7-of-17 for 104 yards (6.1 Y/A) with three first downs.
On third and fourth down, Love completed 8-of-10 passes for 141 yards (14.1 Y/A) with seven first downs. He had a perfect 158.3 rating on third and fourth downs.
Love can find some balance by putting himself in fewer third downs by playing better on early downs.
It is also pretty safe to say that Love will not have an 11.1% touchdown rate for the season as well.
That said, Love was working with a battered wide receiver room, and there are not many rough spots on this schedule.
New Falcons defensive coordinator Ryan Nielsen was not aggressive in Week 1 against a rookie quarterback.
Atlanta blitzed just 16.7% of the time (27th), but they still generated pressure on 45.2% of Bryce Young’s dropbacks. In 2022, Atlanta was 31st in pressure rate (25.8%).
Love was pressured on just six dropbacks against the Bears.
We do want to see if Love will get Christian Watson back or if the Packers will have Aaron Jones available this weekend before locking him back in as matchup-based play. If both are out, then that is a quick path to the regression we are going to see at some point based on how Love lived in Week 1. If both Watson and Jones are available, then slot Love back in as a high-end QB2.
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