The Worksheet, a comprehensive fantasy football preview by Rich Hribar, breaks down everything you need to know about the Week 2 matchup between the Broncos and Commanders.
Find a breakdown of every Week 2 NFL game in our Worksheet Hub.
|43.10%||18||Opp. Rush %||52.73%||26|
|56.90%||15||Opp. Pass %||47.27%||7|
- The Broncos averaged a league-high 51.2 yards per drive in Week 1 after 27.7 yards per drive in 2022 (25th).
- The Commanders allowed 17.1 yards per drive (fourth) in Week 1 after allowing a league-low 26.4 yards per drive in 2022.
- Denver got pressure on a league-low 11.1% of dropbacks in Week 1 when they did not blitz and a league-low 13.8% overall.
- 87% of the set of downs against Denver resulted in a new first down or touchdown, the highest rate of Week 1.
- The Commanders had just 77 yards in the second half of Week 1 (30th in the NFL) after 171 yards in the first half (11th).
- Russell Wilson completed 7.8% of his passes over expectation in Week 1 (sixth) after a -4.3% rate in 2022 (35th).
Trust = spike production for that player
Russell Wilson: Wilson had a positive open to the season, ending Week 1 as QB12 (15.2 points).
While Wilson did not set anything on fire with 177 yards passing and 5.2 yards per pass attempt, there were some structural changes in this offense compared to a year ago.
Wilson only averaged 4.0 air yards per pass attempt, which was 30th in the league. A year ago, he averaged 8.8 air yards per attempt.
As a result, only 5.9% of his attempts were deep throws, compared to a 16.6% rate in 2022, which was second in the league.
We are going to need more of a marriage between the 2022 version of Wilson and the Week 1 version, but I do believe it was a positive development early in the season under Sean Payton that Wilson was more reserved surrounding how NFL defenses are playing.
Wilson looked better for fantasy in Week 1 given the overall landscape of the position, but if he can play in a similar fashion moving forward, he can be a viable QB2 that we can stream in positive matchups.
We have seen with Denver that Wilson has had his best moments against the Raiders, so this week should be a better test for what we have.
This overall implied game environment is not a draw for a ceiling week with Denver’s team total in the low twenties.
Washington’s offense was a letdown in Week 1, and we cannot count on a similar week from Wilson carrying the same weight in Week 2.
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